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Oil Supply

Major Oil Price Rise Forecast

The world is drawing down its oil reserves at an unprecedented rate and even assuming no growth in demand it is likely that that by 2010 oil supply will be constrained by global production capacity and oil will permanently cease to be abundant. Supply and demand will be forced to balance - but at a price. Then, like during the oil shocks of the 1970’s, prices could double and treble within two or three years as the world changes from oil abundance to oil scarcity. The world is facing a future of major oil price increases which will occur sooner than many people believe. These are amongst the conclusions of The World Oil Supply Report, an important new study published today by energy analysts Douglas-Westwood. Oil production to peak soon The overall conclusion of the extensive research carried out for this report, into all potential sources of oil, is that the world’s known and estimated ‘yet to find’ reserves cannot satisfy even the present level of production of some 74 million barrels per day beyond 2022. Any growth in global economic activity only serves to increase demand and bring forward the peak year. 1% demand growth brings the year to 2016, when production is expected to peak at around 83 million barrels per day; with 2% growth, peak production of 87 million barrels per day occurs in 2011, and with 3% growth, peak production of 87 million barrels per day occurs in 2006.


OPEC's Indonesia Victim of Supply Cuts-Trade

OPEC member Indonesia has reportedly become a victim of the very oil supply cuts it helped to shape, as it has tendered to buy Saudi Arabian, Iranian and Iraqi crude because its normal supply has been cut under the latest OPEC accord to boost oil prices.


Eni, Rosneft Sign Oil Supplies Agreement

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Rosneft’s President and Chairman of the Management Board, Igor Sechin, and Eni’s CEO, Paolo Scaroni, in the presence of the Russian President, Vladimir Putin, and Italy’s Prime Minister, Enrico Letta, has signed a term sheet on mutual crude oil supplies and a heads of agreement on joint participation and investments in logistic and commercial activities within the hydrocarbons sector. Rosneft will supply crude oil to PCK Schwedt refinery in Germany and Česká


Call on OPEC Oil Increasing Say IEA

International Energy Agency (IEA) reports call on 'OPEC crude & stock change' rising IEA reports that global oil supply increased by 0.6 mbd to 91.0 mbd in April, 3.9 mbd above last year. Higher Iraqi, Nigerian and Libyan supplies lifted OPEC production by 0.41 mbd, to 31.85 mbd. The ‘call on OPEC crude and stock change’ is raised by 0.2 mbd to 30.9 mbd for 3Q12 and by 0.4 mbd to 30.7 mbd for 4Q12, with the 2012 average now 30.3 mbd.


U.S. Federal Court Bars OPEC From Price Fixing

A U.S. federal court reportedly has granted a one-year injunction barring oil producer group OPEC from fixing prices. Prewitt Enterprises won a civil anti-trust case in an Alabama court, accusing the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) of conspiring to fix oil prices through oil supply agreements. OPEC is for the next year "restrained from entering any agreements among themselves or with third parties to raise, lower


Irene SL Release by Somali Pirates

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INTERTANKO is delighted that the Irene SL has been released by the Somali pirates who hijacked this tanker and her 2m barrel oil cargo in February, and that Master, officers and crew are in good health after 58 days in captivity – especially after 12 days being used as a pirate mothership. At the time INTERTANKO’s Managing Director Joe Angelo remarked that the Irene SL hijacking marked a significant shift in Somali piracy


Shale Adds Up to Make US World's Largest Oil Supplier

U.S. is the world's largest producer of oil in 2013, according to data presented at PIRA Energy Group's recent Retainer Client Seminar held in New York City recently. The U.S. has surged to be the world's lead oil supplier because of growth in shale oil. Shale crude and condensate production at 2.5 MMB/D in 2013 is now slightly over one-third of total U.S. crude production, and shale NGL at 1.2 MMB/D is almost half of total Natural Gas Liquids (NGL's).


Will Oil Continue Heading Up?

"Due to increasing demand and reducing reserves, oil prices currently at $40 are likely to soon enter a period of sustained rises resulting in a need to massively develop natural gas and renewable energy resources" according to John Westwood of energy analysts Douglas-Westwood. "Oil reserves are depleting and demand growing. Recent increases in oil demand from China, for example, are likely to accelerate. The average American consumes 25 times as much oil as the average Chinese yet China


Auramarine Ballast Water Treatment Systems

Photo courtesy Auramarine

Auramarine Ltd, manufacturer of heavy fuel oil supply systems and other auxiliary units for marine and power station engines, is now applying its wide-ranging experience in liquid flows to a new sector that benefits the environment. Auramarine is bringing out Auramarine Crystal Ballast, Ballast Water Treatment System (BWTS). Due to technological innovations featured in this system, it is energy-efficient, compact and easy to install


Tanker Shipping's Fortunes Rest on US Shale Oil Production

How much US shale oil production is taken out of service will be a key driver of future tanker shipping earnings, according to the latest edition of the Tanker Forecaster, published by global shipping consultancy Drewry. Tanker operators are pinning their hopes on a rise in US crude oil imports as domestic shale oil extraction becomes increasingly unprofitable. Low oil prices have made crude extraction unprofitable for many US producers


Shipping Industry Flying On The Dragon’s Back

Graph: Clarksons Research

 As the many Greek players in the shipping industry know well, the legend of Icarus tells us the dangers of flying too high. Merchant vessel earnings eventually found their 2008 heights just as unsustainable, even as some talked of a “new paradigm”.  


Oil Rally is Not Just About Hedge Funds: Kemp

Oil prices are becoming dangerously overheated as speculators anticipate a rebalancing of supply and demand that has barely started, according to many oil analysts.   "Even as oil rallies, analysts have barely nudged up their price forecasts as they worry that crude's recent gains


Heavy Hitter: Meet the Hydrohammer S-4000

(Photo: IHC IQIP)

IHC IQIP has launched its new S-4000 Hydrohammer pile-driving system. The Royal IHC business unit’s latest development in hydraulic impact hammers is the largest available on the market, and enables the installation of offshore foundations in even the toughest ground conditions with the


Russia Tops up Urals Oil Exports from Baltic Sea

Russia will ship an extra 100,000 tonnes of Urals crude oil from the Baltic Sea port of Primorsk in April, bringing total shipments from that port to 4.6 million tonnes, according to a schedule seen by Reuters on Friday.   The extra cargo will be shipped by Rosneft on April 20-21.  


VLCC Segment Shows Modest Growth

Graph:  Poten & Partners.

 In the Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCC) segment, which showed modest growth in overall volume from 2014 to 2015, the main changes were concentrated in the eastern hemisphere, says a report by Tanker Research & Consulting department at Poten & Partners.  


Oil Price Rise: Perhaps Wrong, Not Irrational

The oil futures curve is flattening as a wave of bullishness washing across the market raises the price of near-dated contracts faster than that of contracts for deferred delivery.   Brent for delivery in May 2016 has risen more than $10 per barrel since early February


Low Bunker Prices to Support Tanker Earnings

Image: Hamilton Energy

 Lower oil prices performed wonders for the tanker market in 2015, says  Drewry Maritime Research. Tonnage demand surged and oil trade expanded because of high consumption demand and increased stocking activity.    Tonnage supply was also kept in check as the contango in oil


IEA Paints Lukewarm Outlook for Crude Oil Tankers

Map: Poten & Partners

 Every year around this time, the International Energy Agency (IEA) publishes their Medium Term Oil Market Report. The report includes the customary oil supply and demand forecasts and refinery dynamics.    "Most interesting for us in the tanker industry is their detailed


Teekay Tankers Misses 4Q Profit forecasts

Teekay Tankers vessel in Port Said Egypt  Courtesy Teekay Tankers

Teekay Tankers Ltd. reported adjusted net income attributable to its shareholders of $48.5 million, or $0.31 per share, for the quarter ended December 31, 2015, compared to $18.6 million, or $0.21 per share, for the same period in the prior year.


Six New VLCCs Marks the Start of a Busy Delivery Year

Image: ConocoPhillips

 2016 is off to a flying start when it comes to delivering brand new VLCCs from shipyards in South Korea and China to owners and investor across the globe, says a report BIMCO.    The six new VLCCs were delivered in a strong winter market


2016 a Busy Year for VLCC Deliveries - BIMCO

File photo: DHT

When it comes to delivering brand new VLCCs from shipyards in South Korea and China to owners and investor across the globe, 2016 is off to a flying start. Six new VLCCs were delivered in a strong winter market. Having reduced slightly, since the turn of the year


Oversupplied Market Eyes Floating Storage Opportunities

Brent oil price reached lows of $27/bbl in mid-January, but has recovered over the past two weeks to above the $30/bbl mark. Nevertheless, volatility is expected to remain as the market is yet to find a new equilibrium, according to market analyst and consultant Douglas-Westwood (DW).


Cepsa Resumes Iranian Oil Supplies to Spain

Spanish refiner Cepsa will ship a 1-million barrel cargo of Iranian oil to its refineries, according to vessel agents' data and market players' information on Wednesday.   Global oil markets, already oversupplied, have been jittery over the return of Iranian oil after the lifting of


McQuilling Releases 2016-20 Tanker Outlook

McQuilling Services has  announced the release of the 2016-2020 Tanker Market Outlook.    This report is a five-year outlook for eight vessel classes across 18 benchmark trades and represents the company’s 19th forecasting cycle


Oil Rises Towards $31 on Hopes of Deal

Oil rose on Tuesday to above $31 a barrel on hopes that OPEC and non-OPEC producers were inching closer to a deal to reduce output in the face of one of the biggest supply gluts in decades.   The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries is making renewed calls for rival producers






 
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