Panama Canal Expansion: Unintended Consequences

By George Backwell
Thursday, July 17, 2014
Lock gate Panama delivery: Photo courtesy of APC

While airports, ports and GARVEEs are holding steady, according to several new Fitch Ratings reports, increasingly, state and local governments are realizing the benefits of risk transfer, cost certainty and asset preservation through public-private partnerships (P3).

For U.S. airports, a renewed economic downturn or airline service shift could result in negative rating actions, while U.S. port ratings could change if the balance of trade is altered after the Panama Canal expansion opens.

'Near-term, the P3 pipeline is expected to grow, both for new project construction and expanded existing projects. Completion risk remains a prominent factor, so more intensive risk analysis is still an important consideration,' said Scott Zuchorski, Senior Director.

Two-thirds of states currently have P3-enabling legislation in place, and, given the size of future capital needs, a steady stream of P3 projects is likely to continue for the foreseeable future.

U.S. Ports — 2014 Sector Briefing is available at: http://bit.ly/1kw4w0F

Source: Fitch Ratings
 

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