Tankship Overcapacity Blights the Market

Press Release/Drewry Maritime Research
Thursday, June 06, 2013

With seasonally weak demand in the second quarter, the short-term view for freight rates does not look positive finds Drewry.

Global oil demand declined by 1.0% in the first quarter of the year to 89.9 million bpd, although some recovery in demand is likely in the second half of the year based on seasonal demand, which will push overall tonnage demand higher by 2% in 2013.

This will be countered by a continuing supply of fresh tonnage through the year. With 46 million dwt already added since 2010 and a further 17.1 million dwt (4%) due this year, utilisation will be poor and freight rates will not show any noticeable signs of recovery.
There is a glimmer of hope for the longer term from the slowdown in ordering and the gradual global economic recovery. Utilisation will improve from 2014 onwards and shift in trade patterns will also lend some support to rates as voyage lengths increase.

Crude oil shipping from production growth centres such as Latin America, Africa and the Middle East to the emerging refinery capacity in Asia is likely to increase gradually, whereas shipments to the US and Europe will tail off. This will be further driven by the shrinking margins in European refineries, and increased domestic production and stagnant refinery capacity in the USA.

Drewry expects tanker demand to increase at a compounded annual growth rate of about 5% through to 2018, reaching 420 million dwt. Tanker owners are likely to see improved conditions from 2014 onwards once the existing phase of overcapacity eases, with improved demand and some slowdown in supply growth. However, if current attractive newbuild prices prompt excessive ordering, the market might not break the cycle of overcapacity for a long time, delaying any hopes of recovery.

“Tanker Forecaster” is a quarterly report published by Drewry Maritime Research.


Maritime Today

The Maritime Industry's original and most viewed E-News Service

Maritime Reporter November 2015 Digital Edition
FREE Maritime Reporter Subscription
Latest Maritime News    rss feeds


Royston Appoints New US Distributor

Diesel power engineering specialist Royston has appoint a new U.S.-based distributor, citing growing interest in its advanced Enginei marine fuel management and monitoring systems.

MacGregor Wins Orders for Pusnes Deck Machinery

MacGregor, part of Cargotec, announced it has secured orders for a series of Pusnes deck machinery packages for several shipowners. The Pusnes equipment has been

BTӦ Orders Damen ASD Tug

Sweden-based BogserTeam Ӧresund (BTӦ), part of MarCon gruppen, recently signed a contract with the Damen Shipyards Group for the delivery of a Damen ASD Tug 2810.

Tanker Trends

Egypt to Complete East Port Said Side Channel in 2016

Egypt plans to complete a side channel in East Port Said, near the Suez Canal, that would speed up shipping and allow ships direct entry into the port by the end of June 2016,

Concordia Maritime Charters MR Tanker

Concordia Maritime has signed a contract for the charter of an IMO2/3 class MR tanker, the company announced today. The vessel will be chartered jointly with Stena Weco,

Stena Bulk Orders Tankers from China

Stena Bulk has placed an order for three 50,000 dwt IMOIIMAX MR tankers with the Chinese shipyard CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (CSSC OME), formerly Guangzhou Shipyard International (GSI),


R-22 Phase-out Presents Dangers and Expense -WSS

The shipping industry is facing price, supply and safety risks in the run-up to the global ban on R-22 (chlorodifluoromethane or HCFC) refrigerant, warns Wilhelmsen Ships Service,

U.S. Ups Philippines Aid as South China Sea Turmoil Builds

The United States has raised its military aid to the Philippines this year to $79 million, the U.S. ambassador said on Wednesday, as tension rises in the region

Asia Fuel Oil-Cracks, Spreads Tight; Bunker Prices Climb

Asia's fuel oil crack for benchmark 180-centistroke rebounded to a discount of $6.79 a barrel on Wednesday, gaining as bunker prices firmed on the possibility of

Maritime Contracts Maritime Security Maritime Standards Navigation Offshore Oil Pod Propulsion Salvage Ship Electronics Ship Simulators Shipbuilding / Vessel Construction
rss | archive | history | articles | privacy | contributors | top maritime news | about us | copyright | maritime magazines
maritime security news | shipbuilding news | maritime industry | shipping news | maritime reporting | workboats news | ship design | maritime business

Time taken: 0.0831 sec (12 req/sec)