Newport Shipping Upbeat on Dry Bulk Segment

By Michelle Howard
Monday, August 11, 2014

Freight rates are set to rise across all dry bulk carrier segments as the global economic recovery gains momentum, ending the sector’s most bearish run since the start of the economic crisis in 2008/2009.

According to the latest edition of Newport Shipping’s Dry Bulk Market Outlook, seaborne trade in bulk commodities is expected to pick up after almost two years of slow to moderate economic growth to almost 9% this year, after which it will ease off slightly to an annual growth rate of about 7%.

Harald Lone, Newport Shipping’s Chairman and CEO, said: “The dry bulk markets, especially the Panamax, Supramax and Handy-size segments, have not been at the current low levels since the financial crisis in 2009. Strong supply growth, up 10.5% year-on-year for Panamax, combined with a decline in most of  the major coal trades have pushed spot earnings for Panamax bulkers to about US$3,000 per day, well below operating costs.

“Due to correlation and the substitution effect, falling spot rates for Panamax and declining soybean, cement, nickel ore and bauxite trades have driven down spot earrings for both Supramax and Handy-size vessels.”

However, the turning economic tide, together with a significant shift in the pace of fleet expansion, as scrapping eats into new deliveries, is driving a market rebound, says Lone.

“Percentage-wise, dry bulk supply expansion goes from 15% in 2011 and 14% in 2012 to 7.4% in 2013 and a mere average of 5.3% in 2014 and 2015, setting the stage for a dry bulk market revival. Handy supply growth during the 2014 to 2017 period will be 20%, less than the total dry bulk fleet growth which is expected to be close to 30%,” he says.

“Despite a slow start to the year, total dry bulk demand should rise faster in 2014 than in the past two years.”

In the latest edition of the market outlook report, Lone also comments on the psychology of bearish sentiment as an important factor influencing freight rates and fluctuations.  

He states that “crowd mentality” can trigger large scale volatility.

Maritime Today


The Maritime Industry's original and most viewed E-News Service

Maritime Reporter May 2016 Digital Edition
FREE Maritime Reporter Subscription
Latest Maritime News    rss feeds

People & Company News

North P&I Club Repots Positive Financial Performance

North P&I Club reports that an exceptionally low year for claims has helped it increase its free reserves by $90 million to $428 million and deliver a combined ratio of 73.

Seaspan Responds to Canada’s NSS Announcement

In response to the Government of Canada’s announcement of a series of enhancements to strengthen the National Shipbuilding Strategy, Seaspan Shipyards’ president

DONG Energy Listing to Value Group at up to $16 Bln

DONG Energy's has set a potential $16 billion price tag on its stock market debut, giving investors a chance to buy into the growth in offshore wind power, but

Contracts

BWTS Refit for Netherlands Naval Vessels

The Defense Material Organization has awarded three contracts to Goltens Worldwide’s Green Technologies business unit for the engineering and turnkey installation

Raytheon Anschütz Selected as INS Provider for Canada’s OFSV

Raytheon Anschütz Selected as INS Provider for Canada’s OFSV   Thales, a major system integrator in Canada, has chosen Raytheon Anschütz as the supplier of the

Seacat Services Secures Burbo Bank Charter Deal

DONG Energy has awarded  offshore energy support vessel operator Seacat Services with the supply contract for all crew transfer services at its 258MW Burbo Bank

Bulk Carrier Trends

Lower Large Dry Bulk Rates drag Baltic Index

The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities, fell on Thursday dragged down by lower demand for larger vessel segments.

Asia Dry Bulk-Capesize Rates Could Climb

More coal cargoes, rising oil prices could support rates. Freight rates for large capesize dry cargo ships on key Asian routes are likely to rise next week on

Baltic Index Down on Lower Demand for Larger Vessels

The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities, fell on Wednesday hurt by sluggish demand for large vessel sizes.

Finance

North P&I Club Repots Positive Financial Performance

North P&I Club reports that an exceptionally low year for claims has helped it increase its free reserves by $90 million to $428 million and deliver a combined ratio of 73.

DONG Energy Listing to Value Group at up to $16 Bln

DONG Energy's has set a potential $16 billion price tag on its stock market debut, giving investors a chance to buy into the growth in offshore wind power, but

WSS: Post-combustion Fuel Treatment Cuts Vessel Costs, Risk

Wilhelmsen Ships Service, a provider of products and services to the shipping industry, is advising vessel operators to wage war on soot. According to WSS, soot

News

Tech & Design Solutions for Modern Workboats

EPA Tier 4 regulations (for engines of 804 hp and higher) and propulsion advancements have many manufacturers and vessel designers changing course to adapt to new requirements and customer demands.

Seaspan Responds to Canada’s NSS Announcement

In response to the Government of Canada’s announcement of a series of enhancements to strengthen the National Shipbuilding Strategy, Seaspan Shipyards’ president

DONG Energy Listing to Value Group at up to $16 Bln

DONG Energy's has set a potential $16 billion price tag on its stock market debut, giving investors a chance to buy into the growth in offshore wind power, but

Vessels

Tech & Design Solutions for Modern Workboats

EPA Tier 4 regulations (for engines of 804 hp and higher) and propulsion advancements have many manufacturers and vessel designers changing course to adapt to new requirements and customer demands.

WSS: Post-combustion Fuel Treatment Cuts Vessel Costs, Risk

Wilhelmsen Ships Service, a provider of products and services to the shipping industry, is advising vessel operators to wage war on soot. According to WSS, soot

Port of Caen Orders Damen ASD Tug 2810

The Port of Caen/Chamber of Commerce & Industry Caen Normandy (Chambre de Commerce et d’industrie de Caen Normandie) has placed an order for a Damen ASD Tug 2810.

Logistics

Lower Large Dry Bulk Rates drag Baltic Index

The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities, fell on Thursday dragged down by lower demand for larger vessel segments.

EGAS: Egypt to tender for 10 LNG Cargoes

Egypt will tender next week to import 10 cargoes of liquefied natural gas (LNG) for delivery in July and August, an official from the state gas company, EGAS, said on Thursday.

Asia Dry Bulk-Capesize Rates Could Climb

More coal cargoes, rising oil prices could support rates. Freight rates for large capesize dry cargo ships on key Asian routes are likely to rise next week on

 
 
Maritime Careers / Shipboard Positions Maritime Contracts Maritime Standards Pod Propulsion Port Authority Salvage Ship Electronics Ship Repair Shipbuilding / Vessel Construction Sonar
rss | archive | history | articles | privacy | contributors | top maritime news | about us | copyright | maritime magazines
maritime security news | shipbuilding news | maritime industry | shipping news | maritime reporting | workboats news | ship design | maritime business

Time taken: 0.1539 sec (6 req/sec)