Newport Shipping Upbeat on Dry Bulk Segment

By Michelle Howard
Monday, August 11, 2014

Freight rates are set to rise across all dry bulk carrier segments as the global economic recovery gains momentum, ending the sector’s most bearish run since the start of the economic crisis in 2008/2009.

According to the latest edition of Newport Shipping’s Dry Bulk Market Outlook, seaborne trade in bulk commodities is expected to pick up after almost two years of slow to moderate economic growth to almost 9% this year, after which it will ease off slightly to an annual growth rate of about 7%.

Harald Lone, Newport Shipping’s Chairman and CEO, said: “The dry bulk markets, especially the Panamax, Supramax and Handy-size segments, have not been at the current low levels since the financial crisis in 2009. Strong supply growth, up 10.5% year-on-year for Panamax, combined with a decline in most of  the major coal trades have pushed spot earnings for Panamax bulkers to about US$3,000 per day, well below operating costs.

“Due to correlation and the substitution effect, falling spot rates for Panamax and declining soybean, cement, nickel ore and bauxite trades have driven down spot earrings for both Supramax and Handy-size vessels.”

However, the turning economic tide, together with a significant shift in the pace of fleet expansion, as scrapping eats into new deliveries, is driving a market rebound, says Lone.

“Percentage-wise, dry bulk supply expansion goes from 15% in 2011 and 14% in 2012 to 7.4% in 2013 and a mere average of 5.3% in 2014 and 2015, setting the stage for a dry bulk market revival. Handy supply growth during the 2014 to 2017 period will be 20%, less than the total dry bulk fleet growth which is expected to be close to 30%,” he says.

“Despite a slow start to the year, total dry bulk demand should rise faster in 2014 than in the past two years.”

In the latest edition of the market outlook report, Lone also comments on the psychology of bearish sentiment as an important factor influencing freight rates and fluctuations.  

He states that “crowd mentality” can trigger large scale volatility.

Maritime Reporter October 2013 Digital Edition
FREE Maritime Reporter Subscription
Latest Maritime News    rss feeds

People & Company News

Odfjell Finalizes LPG/Ethylene Joint Venture Deal

Following Odfjell SE’s May 16, 2014 announcement declaring the signing of a definitive agreement to form a LPG/E shipping joint venture, Odfjell today announced

Chinese Manufacturing Expansion Affects Shipping Demand

The expansion of the Chinese Manufacturing Industry continued in September at unchanged pace as compared to the month before, BIMCO reports. The manufacturing industry

Marorka Opens Offices in Copenhagen

Marorka announced it is currently expanding following a substantial injection of funds. The expansion plan was approved and Marorka will extend its worldwide network in 2014.

Contracts

Odfjell Finalizes LPG/Ethylene Joint Venture Deal

Following Odfjell SE’s May 16, 2014 announcement declaring the signing of a definitive agreement to form a LPG/E shipping joint venture, Odfjell today announced

Australia, US Order Anti-ship Missile Decoys

Design of the next generation of anti-ship missile decoys is set to commence following the signing of two contracts between the Australian Defense Force and BAE Systems Australia Pty Ltd.

General Dynamics Bags $ 50 mi Submarine Contracts

General Dynamics Advanced Information Systems, a business unit of General Dynamics was awarded two contract modifications totaling $50 million to continue supporting

Finance

Port City Plans for New Cargo Taxes Angers Kenya Govt, Shippers

Proposals by a local authority to impose new taxes on cargo at Kenya's main port has drawn opposition from the government and shippers, saying it will hike import

Odfjell Finalizes LPG/Ethylene Joint Venture Deal

Following Odfjell SE’s May 16, 2014 announcement declaring the signing of a definitive agreement to form a LPG/E shipping joint venture, Odfjell today announced

Norvestor to Become PG’s Largest Shareholder

Norvestor VI, L.P., a fund advised by Norvestor Equity AS, announced it has signed an agreement to invest in Ing Per Gjerdrum AS including its subsidiaries PG Hydraulics AS and PG Construction AS.

News

NAVTOR, AWT Agreement Marks Next Step in E-navigation

NAVTOR has signed an agreement with maritime weather routing specialist Applied Weather Technology (AWT) that will see the two companies integrating their services

Port City Plans for New Cargo Taxes Angers Kenya Govt, Shippers

Proposals by a local authority to impose new taxes on cargo at Kenya's main port has drawn opposition from the government and shippers, saying it will hike import

Odfjell Finalizes LPG/Ethylene Joint Venture Deal

Following Odfjell SE’s May 16, 2014 announcement declaring the signing of a definitive agreement to form a LPG/E shipping joint venture, Odfjell today announced

Vessels

Chinese Manufacturing Expansion Affects Shipping Demand

The expansion of the Chinese Manufacturing Industry continued in September at unchanged pace as compared to the month before, BIMCO reports. The manufacturing industry

Going Big for Sustainability

Orkot Marine Bearings, developed and manufactured by Trelleborg Sealing Solutions, contribute to the build of the world’s largest and most efficient containerships,

MAN Propulsion Packages for New Trawler Series

Orders for five fresh-fish trawlers feature two different ship designs and MAN 6L27/38 engines and aft-ship equipment Icelandic owners, HB Grandi, Vinnslustodin hf.

Logistics

Chinese Manufacturing Expansion Affects Shipping Demand

The expansion of the Chinese Manufacturing Industry continued in September at unchanged pace as compared to the month before, BIMCO reports. The manufacturing industry

MOL Restructures Asia to S. Africa Service

Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd. (MOL) announced the restructuring of its existing Asia to South Africa liner services into two direct loops. One service will call South China,

DMR Examines Container Terminal Congestion Issues

Container port congestion has been hitting the headlines recently, but the reasons for it vary widely and in many cases it is only a short term issue. Certain world

 
 
Maritime Security Naval Architecture Navigation Offshore Oil Pod Propulsion Salvage Ship Electronics Ship Repair Shipbuilding / Vessel Construction Winch
rss | archive | history | articles | privacy | terms and conditions | contributors | top maritime news | about us | copyright | maritime magazines
maritime security news | shipbuilding news | maritime industry | shipping news | maritime reporting | workboats news | ship design | maritime business

Time taken: 0.3277 sec (3 req/sec)