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Brent Edges Up off Six-Month Low

Maritime Activity Reports, Inc.

August 10, 2015

Chinese exports tumble 8.3 pct, biggest fall in 4 months; Chinese crude oil imports up 4.1 pct in July. OPEC has no plans to hold emergency meeting.

Crude oil futures touched multi-month lows on Monday after a weekend of mixed data from China showing higher oil imports in July but weaker trade figures overall.

Brent then edged up 24 cents to $48.85 a barrel at 1105 GMT, after dipping to $48.24 earlier in the session, the lowest in over six months.

U.S. crude was down 2 cents at $43.85 after hitting an intraday low of $43.35 in Asian trading. Both benchmarks have been falling for six weeks, hampered by a supply glut.

"The market remains in a battle between the bearish current fundamentals and the perception that the market will begin to rebalance in the not too distant future," said Dominick Chirichella of the Energy Management Institute.

China's crude oil imports rose by 4.1 percent in July from June, but this bullish news was partly offset by broader trade figures showing an 8.3 percent slump in exports, stoking fears that Chinese economic activity was slowing.

Carsten Fritsch, an oil analyst at Commerzbank in Frankfurt, said that China had probably taken advantage of much lower oil prices to rebuild its stocks in July: "They had fallen to a one-year low in June on account of record oil processing, so a top-up was needed."

Since the start of August, however, there have been signs that Asian crude demand is slowing.

Olivier Jakob, an oil analyst at Petromatrix in Switzerland, cited the fact that the supertanker Sea King, which set off for South Korea with North Sea Forties crude in July, has since stayed in Europe.

He added that China was selling some Angolan cargoes and there had been talk of run cuts at Asian refineries.

Two OPEC delegates said the group had no plans to hold an emergency meeting to discuss the drop in oil prices before its next scheduled gathering in December.

"Up to the December 4 OPEC meeting there is no reason for OPEC to hold back production," Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at SEB, said in a note.

He suggested that the market could test the intraday low for Brent crude of $45.19 from Jan. 19. "The market is still running a surplus. OPEC is not holding back and U.S. oil rigs have been rising for the last three weeks," he said.


By Claire Milhench

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