Global Oil Transportation System Imperfect, Explains Forecaster

MarineLink.com
Monday, February 03, 2014
2014-2018 Tanker Market Outlook': Image courtesy of McQuilling Services

In the second of a four part series of explanatory notes to McQuilling Services '2014-2018 Tanker Market Outlook' an important element of the company's forecasting process regarding fleet utilization and availability (included for the first time in the current report) is discussed in the following brief excerpt.

The marine transportation system described by the global carriage of crude oil and petroleum products is by nature imperfect and highly inefficient.  If it were perfectly efficient, tankers would be able to load their next cargoes in the same location that they discharged their last cargoes and sail loaded at full capacity on all voyages.  However, in reality, tankers spend a significant portion of their trading lives sailing empty or otherwise inefficiently deployed.
 
As a result of these inefficiencies, the actual supply of tonnage available to meet transportation demand is less than implied by the mathematical summation of the carrying capacity of the world tanker fleet.  This is because the total number of vessels available at any given time is reduced by the inefficiency that stems from the nature of the transportation system and by commercial decisions of owners and charterers in the marketplace.  Characterizing and quantifying these inefficiencies is of significant value in understanding how vessel supply relates to demand in the tanker industry.


McQuilling uses the vessel utilization and availability concepts summarized in the above diagram, and as described fully in their note (available at: https://www.mcquilling.com/) to adjust the average inventory of tankers across tanker sectors able to meet tanker ton-mile demand.
 

 

 

Maritime Today


The Maritime Industry's original and most viewed E-News Service

Maritime Reporter June 2016 Digital Edition
FREE Maritime Reporter Subscription
Latest Maritime News    rss feeds

People & Company News

HCI Capital Renamed Ernst Russ AG

A vote was passed at the ordinary shareholders’ meeting of HCI Capital AG yesterday to change the company’s name to Ernst Russ AG. The Executive Board and Supervisory

CMA CGM to use Kingston As Transshipment Hub

French shipping giant CMA CGM plans to use Kingston Container Terminal,  Jamaica as a strategic Caribbean transshipment hub for an enlarged Panama Canal. The Port connects to US East Coast,

Conrad Shipyard Forms LNG Business Unit

Conrad Shipyard has formed a new business unit focused on LNG projects.   Conrad, builder of North America’s first LNG bunker barge scheduled for 2017 delivery,

Tanker Trends

VL-exit?

Earlier this week spot returns in the VLCC market touched their lowest level since October 2014, with TCE earnings for Middle East/Japan (TD3) falling close to $20,

RS Rules Conform to the IMO Goal-based Standards

The rules of the Russian Maritime Register of Shipping are in conformity to the International Maritime Organization (IMO)goal-based standards (GBS), the IMO’s Maritime

Asia Tankers-VLCC Rates to Climb Slowly

Around 47 MidEast charters fixed for July loading so far; older tonnage and new vessels a drag on freight rates. Freight rates for very large crude carriers

Finance

VEB Guarantees $3 Bln of Yamal LNG Debt

Russian development bank VEB said on Friday it had provided a guarantee for $3 billion of debt to the Yamal liquefied natural gas (LNG) project, led by Russian gas firm Novatek.

US Oil Drillers Cut Rigs after 3 Weeks of Additions

U.S. oil drillers cut rigs this week for a 20th week this year after three weeks of additions, according to a closely followed report on Friday, as crude prices

World Stocks Tumble as Britain Votes for EU Exit

Global capital markets reeled on Friday after Britain voted to leave the European Union, with $2 trillion in value wiped from equity bourses worldwide, while money

Fuels & Lubes

Conrad Shipyard Forms LNG Business Unit

Conrad Shipyard has formed a new business unit focused on LNG projects.   Conrad, builder of North America’s first LNG bunker barge scheduled for 2017 delivery,

Klüber Synthetic Gear Oils Offer Max Efficiency

Klüber Lubrication, manufacturer of specialty lubricants, provides high-performance gear oils that are based on high-grade raw materials and advanced additives,

Alfa Laval Announced Plans for SMM 2016

At SMM 2016, Alfa Laval will mark the 100th anniversary of its first marine separator, and present marine customers with more new solutions.   Over the course of a century,

Consulting

LR Suggests Locations for In-water Surveys

Lloyd’s Register has recently re-appraised its guidance on locations where an In-Water Survey may be carried out.   Traditionally, these locations were known as ‘Approved Locations’,

GTT, Endel Team-up to Roll-out Membrane Containment Systems

21 June 2016. GTT and the Endel company1 reaffirmed their collaboration in the area of LNG as a marine fuel, following the recent signature of a Technical Assistance

IAMPE Certifies Port Professionals

The International Association of Maritime and Port Professionals (IAMPE) has informed about the Accredited Marine Port Executive Professional Certification. This

 
 
Maritime Security Naval Architecture Navigation Offshore Oil Pipelines Ship Electronics Ship Repair Ship Simulators Shipbuilding / Vessel Construction Winch
rss | archive | history | articles | privacy | contributors | top maritime news | about us | copyright | maritime magazines
maritime security news | shipbuilding news | maritime industry | shipping news | maritime reporting | workboats news | ship design | maritime business

Time taken: 0.1306 sec (8 req/sec)