Global Oil Transportation System Imperfect, Explains Forecaster

MarineLink.com
Monday, February 03, 2014
2014-2018 Tanker Market Outlook': Image courtesy of McQuilling Services

In the second of a four part series of explanatory notes to McQuilling Services '2014-2018 Tanker Market Outlook' an important element of the company's forecasting process regarding fleet utilization and availability (included for the first time in the current report) is discussed in the following brief excerpt.

The marine transportation system described by the global carriage of crude oil and petroleum products is by nature imperfect and highly inefficient.  If it were perfectly efficient, tankers would be able to load their next cargoes in the same location that they discharged their last cargoes and sail loaded at full capacity on all voyages.  However, in reality, tankers spend a significant portion of their trading lives sailing empty or otherwise inefficiently deployed.
 
As a result of these inefficiencies, the actual supply of tonnage available to meet transportation demand is less than implied by the mathematical summation of the carrying capacity of the world tanker fleet.  This is because the total number of vessels available at any given time is reduced by the inefficiency that stems from the nature of the transportation system and by commercial decisions of owners and charterers in the marketplace.  Characterizing and quantifying these inefficiencies is of significant value in understanding how vessel supply relates to demand in the tanker industry.


McQuilling uses the vessel utilization and availability concepts summarized in the above diagram, and as described fully in their note (available at: https://www.mcquilling.com/) to adjust the average inventory of tankers across tanker sectors able to meet tanker ton-mile demand.
 

 

 

Maritime Reporter August 2015 Digital Edition
FREE Maritime Reporter Subscription
Latest Maritime News    rss feeds

People & Company News

Neander Deal Sees Yanmar Return to Diesel Outboards

Marking its return to the diesel outboard market, engineering company Yanmar Marine International (YMI) has reached an agreement for exclusive distribution rights

3Si Group Launches Offshore Division

3Si Group, whose global portfolio of marine safety products and services covers commercial, leisure and military markets, has announced the formation of 3Si Offshore,

Canadian Frigates Get a Radar Upgrade

German navigation system manufacturer Raytheon Anschütz has completed factory acceptance tests and delivery of 12 sets of navigation radars for the Canadian Navy’s Halifax-class frigates.

Tanker Trends

Jotun, COSCO Celebrate 10,000th Antifouling Applications

In July, Jotun and Dalian Ocean Shipping Company (a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Ocean Shipping Company, Cosco Group), celebrated the 10,000th application of SeaQuantum,

Asia Tankers-VLCC Rates Will See More Volatility

VLCC market to be "hot" in Q4 -VLCC broker. Freight rates for very large crude carriers (VLCCs) face a roller-coaster ride on uncertain cargo volumes and vessel

Libya Plans to Sell Ex-rebel Tanker

Libya plans to sell a tanker that a former rebel group used in an attempt to bypass the Libyan government and export oil on its own last year, the Tripoli-based state prosecutor said on Thursday.

Finance

US Oil Drillers Cut Rigs as Crude Prices Collapse

U.S. energy firms cut a surprisingly sharp 13 oil rigs this week, the first drop in seven weeks, as a renewed slump in prices this summer forced drillers to make a second round of cut-backs.

Timing in Doubt on Hapag-Lloyd IPO

German container shipping group Hapag-Lloyd has taken further steps in preparation of a stock market listing and has mandated more banks for the move, but it remains

Asia Tankers-VLCC Rates Will See More Volatility

VLCC market to be "hot" in Q4 -VLCC broker. Freight rates for very large crude carriers (VLCCs) face a roller-coaster ride on uncertain cargo volumes and vessel

Fuels & Lubes

Rapid Oil Spill Response Vessel Launched

Western Canada Marine Response Corporation (WCMRC) launched their newest oil spill response vessel in Burrard Inlet. The boat, named after former employee George Penman,

Total Lubmarine Resumes Full Service in Tianjin

Marine lubricants and greases provider Total Lubmarine informs it has resumed all services based out of the Port of Tianjin following the deadly explosions that rocked the port August 12.

LNG-fueled Box Ship a 'Momentous Step Forward'

On Saturday, August 29, 2015, the world’s first series of energy efficient containerships welcomed its second LNG-powered vessel in San Diego, fueling the U.S.

Consulting

ISS Appoints Holmes as VP, Cruise Solutions

Inchcape Shipping Services (ISS) said it is embarking on a plan to develop its cruise business with the appointment of Grant Holmes as Vice President, Cruise Solutions.

Dorian Acquires 2 ECO VLGC

Dorian LPG, an owner and operator of modern Very Large Gas Carriers ("VLGCs"), reported today that it has taken delivery of the ECO VLGC Commodore from Hyundai

Glosten Acquires Noise Control Engineering

Seattle-based naval architecture and marine engineering consultancy Glosten, Inc. has acquired Noise Control Engineering LLC (NCE), a consulting firm specializing in ship noise and vibration control.

 
 
Maritime Security Maritime Standards Navigation Port Authority Salvage Ship Repair Ship Simulators Shipbuilding / Vessel Construction Sonar Winch
rss | archive | history | articles | privacy | contributors | top maritime news | about us | copyright | maritime magazines
maritime security news | shipbuilding news | maritime industry | shipping news | maritime reporting | workboats news | ship design | maritime business

Time taken: 0.5125 sec (2 req/sec)