Marine Link
Thursday, December 14, 2017

National Weather Service News

Heavy Weather Expected on Lake Michigan

The U.S. Coast Guard Sector Lake Michigan is urging mariners and anyone going on or near the water Wednesday to use extreme caution and be aware of extreme weather on Lake Michigan over the next few days. The National Weather Service in Milwaukee issued a gale warning for all of Lake Michigan effective from Wednesday evening through Thursday morning, as winds are expected to gust to more than 50 mph across the lake, and waves are forecast to build to more than 15 feet. These heavy winds, high waves and driving rain will create dangerous conditions for anyone on the water, the Coast Guard said. “Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels,” said Dennis Vancleve, of the National Weather Service.

El Faro Investigators Call for Better Weather Forecasting

The eye of Hurricane Joaquin is visible in the lower left corner of this image taken from the International Space Station October 2, 2015. (Photo: NASA)

New recommendations coming out of the investigation into the 2015 sinking of U.S. cargo ship El Faro call for efforts to improve the weather information available to mariners. All 33 crew on board died when the 790-foot El Faro sank close to the eye of Hurricane Joaquin near the Bahamas on October 1, 2015, two days after leaving Jacksonville, Fla. en route to Puerto Rico. Now, as part of its ongoing investigation into the incident, the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB)…

Kelly Sworn in as Deputy Under Secretary of Commerce at NOAA

the new Deputy Under Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere. most respected agencies in the federal government. the U.S. Department of Commerce. "Jack Kelly is uniquely capable of filling this position. Weather Service," said retired Navy VADM Conrad C. Lautenbacher. Administration. assistant administrator of the National Weather Service. technological change. for GTE Information Systems. loss, and program management. "I look forward to this challenging new position," Kelly said. account for about $3 trillion, or one-third, of our Nation's GDP. Kelly retired from the Air Force in 1994 after serving for 31 years. retired as director of Weather Headquarters. supported all Air Force and Army operations. in U.S. troops made great strides in providing better support to U.S.

N.E. Fishermen Warned of Extreme Cold, Wind Chills

Stock Image of Coast Guard Station Menemsha on Martha’s Vineyard Photo USCG

The Coast Guard is urging the Massachusetts and Rhode Island fishing fleet to take caution heading into the weekend when life threatening temperatures and wind chills are forecasted. The National Weather Service has issued a wind chill warning for 4 p.m. Saturday until noon Sunday for our area. The wind chill temperatures are expected to be 20 to 30 degrees below zero. These wind chill temperatures can result in frostbite in as little as ten minutes. “Heavy freezing spray Saturday…

More Dangerous Weather on Lake Michigan

U.S. Coast Guard Sector Lake Michigan warns of strong winds, high waves and mixed precipitation expected to create dangerous conditions in the area over the next few days, and is therefore urging mariners to take caution. The National Weather Service in Milwaukee issued a storm warning for southern Lake Michigan through midnight and a gale warning for the entire lake until Tuesday morning. Winds are expected to gust to more than 60 mph across the lake, and waves are forecast to build to more than 20 feet in some areas. “The forecasted conditions will result in dangerous conditions along Lake Michigan," said Cmdr. Leanne Lusk, chief of response at Sector Lake Michigan.

Cindy's Remnants Drench Gulf Coast, Wreaking Havok

The remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy brought tornadoes and flooding to the U.S. Gulf Coast on Thursday and its heavy rains will drench much of the eastern United States in coming days, forecasters said. Flooding and road closures stretched from east Texas into northwestern Florida after Cindy made landfall early on Thursday near the Louisiana-Texas border and weakened to a tropical depression, the National Weather Service said. Cindy is expected to dump 3 to 6 inches (7.5 to 15 cm) of rain as it heads north and east into the Ohio Valley and the Appalachian Mountains through Saturday, said Brian Hurley, a weather service meteorologist. Totals could reach 9 inches (22.5 cm) in some areas. "We're looking at quite a bit of rain. That's going to be the main threat," he said.

Forecast Predicts 70% Chance of El Nino

Photo courtesy of NOAA

The U.S. weather forecaster maintained its outlook for the El Nino weather phenomenon in its monthly update on Thursday, pegging the chances of the weather pattern striking during the Northern Hemisphere summer at 70 percent. The Climate Prediction Center, an agency of the National Weather Service, said there was close to an 80 percent chance of El Nino, that can wreak havoc on crops, during the fall and early winter. (Reporting by Josephine Mason in New York; Editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)

US Forecaster Sees Rising Chance of La Nina

A U.S. government weather forecaster on Thursday forecast an increasing chance of the La Nina weather phenomenon taking place in the Northern Hemisphere in the second half of the year.   The Climate Prediction Center (CPC), an agency of the National Weather Service, in its monthly forecast said the El Nino weather phenomenon is likely to neutralize late in the Northern Hemisphere spring or early summer 2016.   (Reporting by Marcy Nicholson)

Lower Chance of El Nino in Autumn

A U.S. weather forecaster decreased its outlook for the El Nino weather phenomenon in its monthly update on Thursday, estimating the chances of the weather pattern occurring during the Northern Hemisphere autumn and early winter at 65 percent. The Climate Prediction Center, an agency of the National Weather Service, lowered its estimate from an 80 percent chance. (Reporting by Marcy Nicholson; Editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)

US Forecast Sees 70% Chance of El Nino

The U.S. weather forecaster said there was an increased likelihood of an El Nino weather phenomenon striking during the Northern Hemisphere summer in its monthly outlook on Thursday. The Climate Prediction Center, an agency of the National Weather Service, said there was a 70 percent chance of El Nino, which can wreak havoc on global crops, during the summer and 80 percent during the fall and winter. (Reporting by Josephine Mason; Editing by Lisa Von Ahn)

U.S. Weather Forecaster Slightly Reduces El Nino Chances

The Climate Prediction Center, an agency of the National Weather Service, on Thursday projected a 58-percent chance of El Nino developing during the Northern Hemisphere winter, slightly reducing the likelihood of the weather phenomenon. The U.S. weather forecaster said the phenomenon, if it materializes, is favored to last into the Northern Hemisphere spring in its monthly forecast. (Reporting by Chris Prentice Editing by W Simon)

CPC: 65% Chance of El Nino in N. Hemisphere Winter

The U.S. weather forecaster on Thursday projected a 65-percent chance that El Nino conditions will be present during the Northern Hemisphere winter and last into the Northern Hemisphere spring. The Climate Prediction Center, an agency of the National Weather Service, raised its projection for the likelihood of the weather phenomenon in its monthly report. Reporting by Chris Prentice

US Weather Forecaster Reduces Outlook for La Nina

Image Credit:  Dan Pisut, based on Geo-Polar data

A U.S. government weather forecaster reduced its outlook on Thursday for La Nina conditions to develop during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter 2016/17, saying neutral conditions were more likely.   The Climate Prediction Center (CPC), an agency of the National Weather Service, said in a monthly forecast there was a 55 to 60 percent chance of El Nino-Southern Oscillation neutral conditions, after last month saying that La Nina conditions were slightly favored to occur.   (Reporting By Luc Cohen)

US Weather Forecaster says La Niña Conditions Have Faded

A U.S. government weather forecaster on Thursday said La Niña has faded and neutral conditions are likely to continue through at least the Northern Hemisphere spring, even as it forecast the chance of El Niño may appear in the coming months. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC), an agency of the National Weather Service, in a monthly forecast said that neutral conditions have returned and are favored to continue. However, the CPC noted some chance of the appearance of El Niño as early as March to May 2017. (Reporting by Chris Prentice)  

US Forecaster Sees El Niño Unlikely through Fall 17

A U.S. government weather forecaster on Thursday said there are no active El Niño or La Niña patterns and that neutral conditions are likely in the Northern Hemisphere during fall 2017. However, chances for El Niño remain elevated, between 35 and 50 percent, relative to the long-term average into the fall, the National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center said in a monthly forecast. (Reporting by Arpan Varghese in Bengaluru)

US Forecaster Sees La Niña Likely to Persist in Coming Months

A U.S. government weather forecaster on Thursday said that La Niña conditions are present and slightly favored to persist into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2016-17. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC), an agency of the National Weather Service, in a monthly forecast said it observed La Niña conditions during October and sees a 55 percent change they will persist through the winter. Last month, the agency pegged the chance of La Nina developing this fall at 70 percent. (Reporting by Chris Prentice)

New Polar-Orbit Satellite Under NOAA Control

Suomi NPP: Image credit NOAA

These satellites are critical for advanced warning of severe weather including tornado outbreaks, heavy snowfall, hurricanes, heat waves, floods, & wildfires. Data from the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (Suomi NPP) satellite will continue to strengthen NOAA’s ability to predict severe weather days in advance. Suomi NPP data are also used to generate dozens of environmental data products, including measurements of clouds, vegetation, ocean color, and land and sea surface temperatures.

Tampa Bay Pilots Suspend Operations

Gale force winds and high sea conditions offshore making it unsafe for pilots to board have led the Tampa Bay Pilots to suspend all inbound and outbound vessel traffic as of about 5:20 a.m. local time today.   Current wind conditions are approximately 13-17 knots NNW in the Middle Bay. Seas of are 8’.4-9’ at Egmont Channel   Gale force conditions are expected to persist through the evening, the National Weather Service reports.

NWS To Hold a Workshop in March

The National Weather Service (NWS) will conduct a workshop on March 18, 2002 at the offices of the Galveston/Texas City Pilots Association in Galveston. The purpose of the workshop is to explain how new technologies are changing the marine forecast program and to solicit advice regarding possible new products that should be developed to account for these technologies. Source: HK Law

U.S. Forecaster Sees Chance of El Nino By Summer, Fall 2017

Neutral or El Nino conditions are nearly equally likely in the Northern Hemisphere this summer and fall, a U.S. government forecaster said on Thursday. The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center said in its monthly outlook that the forecaster consensus reflected slightly lower chances of El Nino development than it did last month. The last El Nino, a warming of ocean surface temperatures in the eastern and central Pacific that typically occurs every few years, went away in 2016 and was linked to crop damage, fires and flash floods.   (Reporting by Vijaykumar Vedala in Bengaluru)

USCG Opens Mississippi River to Limited Traffic

The U.S. Coast Guard was scheduled to re-open a portion of the Mississippi River, May 6, near Caruthersville, Mo., after closing it earlier due to the possibility of vessel wakes topping the city's front flood wall. The National Weather Service issued a River Stage Forecast, which adjusted the projected crest at Caruthersville from 49.5 ft to 48.1 ft. This adjustment allowed the Coast Guard to re-open the river to limited commercial traffic.

Tropical Storm Harvey heads for Texas, May Strengthen

The Texas Gulf Coast was getting ready for the tropical storm Harvey to make landfall by Friday, bringing with it strong winds, heavy flooding and torrential rains. Hurricane, tropical storm and storm surge watches were in effect for counties on the eastern coast of Texas as the storm moved across the Gulf of Mexico, where it may strengthen into a hurricane. Winds up to 75 mph (120 kmh) and 15 inches of rain (40 cm) were forecast, according to the National Weather Service. "Now is the time to check your emergency plan and take necessary actions to secure your home or business. Deliberate efforts should be under way to protect life and property," the weather service said in an statement early on Thursday.

Hurricane Ignacio Gains Strength but Expected to Bypass Hawaii

Ignacio is east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii, and not expected to pass north of the islands until Monday night and Tuesday

Hurricane Ignacio intensified as it blew across the Pacific on a route likely to bypass Hawaii on Saturday, said the Central Pacific Hurricane Center of the National Weather Service. With winds gusting up to 115 miles per hour (185 kmph), the hurricane centered 835 miles (1,344 km) southeast of Honolulu and 625 miles (1,006 km) south east of Hilo was moving northwest at 8 miles per hour (13 kmph), said center spokesman Neil Honda. "It just became a hurricane from a tropical storm," Honda said, noting the weather became fierce enough to be classified a hurricane at 5 a.m. Pacific on Saturday.

Maritime Reporter Magazine Cover Dec 2017 - The Great Ships of 2017

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