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Rahul Sharan News

06 Sep 2018

Drewry: Capesize Charter Rates to Go Up

Drewry maintains a positive outlook on the dry bulk market and expects charter rates to improve from current levels, driven by moderate increases in vessel demand and low growth in vessel supply as a result of restrained new ordering and a thin orderbook, according to the latest edition of the Dry Bulk Forecaster, published by global shipping consultancy Drewry.The uncertainty surrounding the dry bulk market, driven by trade wars could, nonetheless, slow down the increase in charter rates. A game of tariffs and counter- tariffs is underway with US at the centre of most of the tussles and it seems unlikely that trade wrangles will end soon.But trade wars might not have a direct negative impact on dry bulk trade.

06 Nov 2017

Upbeat Outlook for Dry Bulk Charter Rates

Drewry expects dry bulk shipping charter rates to recover from the second quarter of 2018 on the back of strengthening Asian iron ore demand, according to the latest edition of the Dry Bulk Forecaster, published by global shipping consultancy Drewry. For the medium and long term, Drewry holds the same views as in previous forecasts. Chinese steel production is expected to pick up pace at the end of winter, in the second quarter of next year, by which time production curbs will have relaxed. Strong infrastructure and construction activities will further strengthen steel consumption. Meanwhile, the Chinese government is closing down inefficient and highly polluting mills…

01 Aug 2017

Dry Bulk Shipping Demand to Continue: Drewry

Drewry expects that dry bulk shipping charter rates will continue to recover with firm demand and controlled fleet growth, according to the latest edition of the Dry Bulk Forecaster, published by global shipping consultancy Drewry. Drewry has revised its charter rates forecast in the short term as the date to implement ballast water management systems (BWMS) has been postponed by two years, bringing down the forecast for demolitions that will eventually support fleet growth. Despite the increased fleet supply, charter rates will strengthen because demand will grow faster. The recovery in rates will become more prominent in 2019 and 2020, when the IMO regulations will be implemented.

03 May 2017

Dry Bulk Shipping Remains Positive: Drewry

The outlook for dry bulk shipping remains positive given the shrinking supply-demand gap, according to the latest edition of the Dry Bulk Forecaster, published by global shipping consultancy Drewry. With high demolition activity and low deliveries the fleet is expected to grow at a slow annual rate of 1 percent over the next five years, while tonne mile demand will grow at a faster pace of around 3 percent per annum. As supply and demand becomes more balanced over the forecast years, charter rates are expected to improve gradually. Drewry has also researched and flagged the impact of renewables on the dry bulk trade, as this has the potential to reverse charter rates, and has built two scenarios based on current trade developments.

10 Feb 2017

Improved Demand Easing Dry Bulk Vessel Oversupply

With contraction in vessel supply and healthy demand growth, the dry bulk shipping market is expected to recover from 2017 onwards, according to the latest edition of the Dry Bulk Forecaster, published by global shipping consultancy Drewry. An impressive outlook for dry bulk demand coupled with a small orderbook of newbuilds as a percentage of the total fleet capacity will ensure a sustained recovery in the dry bulk market. Earnings in the dry bulk market are expected to improve from 2017 with a narrowing supply-demand gap. Demand is projected to grow at a healthy pace of 3% while supply is expected to grow by about 1% from 2017, making the dry bulk segment an interesting market to invest in. The growth in demand originates from a rise in iron ore and thermal coal trade.

04 Aug 2016

Unexpected Demand to Boost Dry Bulk Rates -Drewry

1-year time charter rates (Source: Drewry’s Dry Bulk Forecaster report)

Increasing trade and contracting supply will support a recovery in charter rates on major dry bulk shipping routes, with the prospect of China importing more coal and iron ore to combat pollution and poor quality, according to the latest edition of the Dry Bulk Forecaster, published by global shipping consultancy Drewry. Macroeconomic policy decisions by the Chinese authorities have had an impact on the overall dry bulk market, increasing vessel demand on key routes resulting in a steady recovery in charter rates.

06 May 2016

Recent Strength in Dry Bulk Shipping to be Short-Lived

Drewry forecasts dry bulk freight rates in 2016 will be, on average, lower than in 2015, as the medium-to-long term fundamentals for dry bulk shipping will remain challenging, according to the latest edition of the Dry Bulk Forecaster report published by global shipping consultancy Drewry. The dry bulk sector has seen a period of recovery in recent months based on higher iron ore, coal and grain trade. The boom in iron ore trade that has resulted in record exports out of Australia and Brazil is expected to be a short term phenomenon as it has mainly been based on iron ore restocking due to low inventories, hence resulting in stronger Capesize engagement particularly in the Pacific basin.

05 May 2016

Recent strength in dry bulk shipping to be short-lived - Drewry

Drewry forecasts dry bulk freight rates in 2016 will be, on average, lower than in 2015, as the medium-to-long term fundamentals for dry bulk shipping will remain challenging, according to the latest edition of the Dry Bulk Forecaster report published by global shipping consultancy Drewry. The dry bulk sector has seen a period of recovery in recent months based on higher iron ore, coal and grain trade. The boom in iron ore trade that has resulted in record exports out of Australia and Brazil is expected to be a short term phenomenon as it has mainly been based on iron ore restocking due to low inventories, hence resulting in stronger Capesize engagement particularly in the Pacific basin.

28 Jan 2016

Drewry: Dry Bulk Shipping Needs Drastic Measures

Dry bulk shipping is facing a perfect storm and requires drastic supply side measures if the industry is to return on course to profitability in the medium term, according to the latest edition of the Dry Bulk Forecaster report published by global shipping consultancy Drewry. Drewry estimates that if dry bulk ship-owners collectively removed half of all capesize ships over 12 years old, equating to around 20 million dwt of capacity, it would enable earnings to return to profitability by 2018. If they were to remove all old capsize vessels the recovery would occur even sooner (see chart below). This could be achieved through a combination of scrapping and temporary vessel idling.

03 Dec 2015

Dry Bulk Shipping Will Not Return to Profitability Before 2017

The gloomy outlook for the dry bulk shipping market continues to afflict shipowners and the market is not expected to return to profitability before 2017, according to the Dry Bulk Forecaster report published by global shipping consultancy Drewry. Ship owners continue to struggle to recover their costs as commodity demand falls far short of owners’ expectations. As a result ship owners continue to downsize their vessel holdings which will enable oversupply to reduce over the next five years. The second-hand market remains active, as owners with sound financial backing have acquired many vessels in distress sales. The global dry bulk fleet grew just 2% in the first nine months of 2015, reaching 773 million dwt.

02 Sep 2015

Dry Bulk Recovery Still a Long Way Off

Photo: Norden - Pierre F. Beckman, Bulldog and Partners

The dry bulk shipping market will remain in recession due to contracting demand for iron ore and coal, and any recovery is not expected until 2017, according to the Dry Bulk Forecaster report published by global shipping consultancy Drewry. Falling demand and oversupply has severely impacted commodity values, with iron ore and coal prices in virtual free fall. The dry bulk shipping sector has been a casualty of these developments with resultant impacts on vessel earnings. However…

16 May 2015

Drewry Expects Dry Bulk Shipping Recovery in 2017

Despite a modest recovery in earnings anticipated over the next two years, the dry bulk shipping market is not expected to return to profitability until 2017, says the latest edition of the Dry Bulk Forecaster, published by global shipping consultancy Drewry. The dry bulk market has always been sensitive to demand fluctuations and seven years ago a demand-driven peak in the market made many owners cash-rich, helping them survive the weak market that has persisted since. While this market trough has been supply-driven, with the industry suffering several years of unprecedented oversupply, the more recent demand slow-down has added to market woes, demonstrated by the conversion of some dry bulk vessels to tankers in a desperate attempt by owners to return to profitability.

22 Aug 2012

Dry Bulk Panamax's Face Uncertain Future

Sub-Capesize sectors, previously better performers than Capes, now face an equally uncertain future according to recent Drewry analysis. Demand for Panamax ships improved over the 2nd quarter 2012, primarily due to an increase in grain volumes and Asian coal imports. Significant increases in vessel demand on the transatlantic grain route employed a sizeable fleet of Panamax vessels, leading to an improvement in earnings. Coal demand was also buoyed by fears that Indonesia will introduce a coal export tax, prompting China to increase imports and stock pile huge volumes of Indonesian coal. While coal export restrictions from Indonesia will be negative for the dry bulk market…