Low Freight Rates Cut Costs for Importers

Friday, February 02, 2001
Oil freight costs that have fallen sharply from record peaks two months ago are helping reduce energy import bills already eased by lower crude prices.

Tanker market experts said freight charges that rocketed to unexpected heights in November looked set to remain under control over the next six months at least.

Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) delivering crude to Japan and Singapore from the Middle East now charge about Worldscale 85, $1.40 per barrel, having peaked last November at W190, $2.65 a barrel. Supertanker rates to the United States also are lower at about $2.30 a barrel from the Gulf $3.20 a barrel in November.

"More new ships will be coming in, and scrapping has slowed down, so rates will soften compared to the fourth quarter of last year, but we expect the market to remain relatively strong," said Pankaj Khanna, tanker analyst at London shipbroker SSY. At the start of 2001 the Worldscale Association revised its flat rates upwards by around 20 percent, and this gave the impression of rates falling.

Brokers said the Chinese New Year holidays then slowed trading in January, and that, combined with talk of OPEC production cutbacks, was enough to damage tanker owners' confidence.

Tanker charterers have taken advantage by hammering rates back down, but the market's fundamentals remain sound, they said. Oslo-based Fearnleys estimates growth in seaborne oil trade at 3.5 percent in 2001, compared to 4.5 percent in 2000. Meanwhile, the world tanker fleet is forecast to expand by 2.5 percent.

Brokers expect sentiment to recover from today's W85 to average W95 ($1.61 per barrel) on eastbound VLCC routes for the next 12 months.

Oslo shipbroker PF Bassoe said tanker supply rather than charterers' demand would dictate rates in 2001.

"Some claim we have started the inevitable downward cycle and that the next year and beyond will be painful (for tanker owners," it said in a market report.

"All we can say is look beyond temporary distortions in tanker demand. The key element over the medium term is tanker supply," says Bassoe.

SSY's Pankaj Khanna said the tanker market had a built-in safety valve, which would prevent freight falling too much further.

"In today's market, profit margins for older tankers going west from the Middle East are thin, perhaps only a couple of thousand dollars per day," he said.

"If rates fall much below W70 for those trips, then ships facing their fifth special survey (vessels turning 25 years old) are more likely to be scrapped. That will redress the supply-demand balance back in favor of newer tankers."

Volatility on some routes is expected to continue. Brokers recall Caribbean tanker rates nearly doubling in the space of one day in November. Charterers fixing on the morning of November 8 were paying $1.19 per barrel, but those that waited until the afternoon were forced to pay $1.89 per barrel to shift their cargoes. "It's as volatile as it ever was, perhaps more so," said one London broker. - (Reuters)

Maritime Reporter March 2014 Digital Edition
FREE Maritime Reporter Subscription
Latest Maritime News    rss feeds

People & Company News

China Shipbuilder Rongsheng 2013 Revenue Freefall

During the year ended 31, December 2013 China Rongsheng, the largest non-state-owned shipbuilder in the PRC, reports that revenue of the Company was RmB1,343.6 million, a decrease of 83.

InterManager Secretary Welcomes New MLC Amendment

InterManager, the international trade association for the ship management industry, says it has welcomed the adoption of new measures to protect seafarers against abandonment.

China's Japanese Ship Detention Linked to Shrine Spat

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has sent a ritual offering to the Yasukuni Shrine, seen by critics as a symbol of Japan's past militarism, media reported on Monday,

Energy

Deadly Attack In Ukraine Shakes Fragile Geneva Accord

At least three people were killed in a gunfight in the early hours of Sunday near a Ukrainian city controlled by pro-Russian separatists, shaking an already

Niger Could Sign Deal With Areva soon

The government of Niger, the world's fourth largest uranium producer, is on the verge of renewing an agreement with French state-controlled nuclear group Areva,

Barclays To Exit Some Commodities Markets

Barclays is planning to withdraw from parts of the metals, agricultural and energy markets, echoing moves by other major players like JPMorgan Chase and Morgan

 
 
Maritime Contracts Maritime Security Maritime Standards Port Authority Salvage Ship Electronics Ship Repair Ship Simulators Shipbuilding / Vessel Construction Winch
rss | archive | history | articles | privacy | contributors | top maritime news | about us | copyright | maritime magazines
maritime security news | shipbuilding news | maritime industry | shipping news | maritime reporting | workboats news | ship design | maritime business

Time taken: 0.2715 sec (4 req/sec)