Shipping Industry Still More Confident, But Some Waver

MarineLink.com
Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Overall confidence levels in the shipping industry held firm over the three-month period to August 2013, maintaining the highest level reached since November 2010, according to Moore Stephens' latest Shipping Confidence Survey, but some industry insiders they sounded out had mixed views.

There was a theme of quietly returning confidence running through the comments of a number of respondents. “There is a feeling of optimism and the sense that we have turned a corner, with supply and demand expected to come into balance,” said one respondent.” Another noted, “The market is waking up, and more opportunities will appear in the near future,” and another still that, “The shipping market is very competitive and constantly evolving, with more and more new players entering the industry as the demand for shipping cargo by sea continues to increase.”

Elsewhere it was noted, “The shipping industry is seemingly moving towards a positive place, albeit slowly,” and, “The shipping market is on the rise, and will continue on that path.” One respondent said, “A shrinking orderbook, combined with the anticipated US and European economic recovery, should help to increase demand in 2014.”

Not everybody was so confident, say Moore Stephens, with one respondent going so far as to say, “We have never known a period in shipping where the uncertainty factor has been so high in so many areas.” Another said, “Looking at the moves of some of the major players, we have to ask whether we are all blind or just plain ignorant. The rest of us will be paying for a handful of greedy CEOs who hide behind their number-crunchers who make everything look bright and shiny.”

Another respondent observed, “Some niche markets are showing definite signs of a boom, but others are still in decline. Any overall recovery is still at least another two years away. Managing to survive the last five years is no guarantee that a company will survive the next five.” Elsewhere it was noted that the abiding message must be, “Consolidate, consolidate, consolidate!”

A number of respondents expressed continuing concern about overcapacity. “Our biggest fear,” said one, “is that the financial markets will enter the shipping sector and start ordering new vessels again before moderate growth and scrapping volumes have had time to absorb excess tonnage.” Another said, “We are already worrying about the market from 2016 onwards because too many newbuilding orders are being placed on pure spec.”

One respondent said, “A lot of companies and investment funds seem to have the money and courage to invest again in new orders because they see that building prices have bottomed out. But we already have a serious problem with oversupply in all sectors and all tonnage sizes which will certainly not be solved by the time those new ships now being ordered will be ready to enter service.”

A number of respondents referenced the debilitating effect of overtonnaging on freight rates. “Freight rates need to rise,” said one, “but this will not happen while the supply of ships exceeds demand.” Another emphasised, “Freight rates cannot go up unless more ships are scrapped. Newbuilding should be stopped for a specified period, and the supply of easy cash should be regulated.”

Source: Moore Stephens
http://www.moorestephens.co.uk/Home.aspx

 

Maritime Today


The Maritime Industry's original and most viewed E-News Service

Maritime Reporter January 2016 Digital Edition
FREE Maritime Reporter Subscription
Latest Maritime News    rss feeds

People & Company News

Hapag-Lloyd Sees Uptick of Incorrectly Declared Dangerous Goods

Year-on-year increase of 65 percent; more than 4,300 cases worldwide   Container shipper Hapag-Lloyd said it registered considerably more incorrectly declared dangerous goods last year,

Baltic Index Touches New Record Low

The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index, which tracks rates for ships carrying industrial commodities, registered a new all-time low on Monday on muted vessel demand.

SevenCs Supports MariGreen Project

SevenCs is part of the EU INTERREG V A cross-border project “MariGreen” to support the maritime industry in the transition towards more efficient, greener and more sustainable shipping.

Shipbuilding

Australian Navy Commissions HMAS Adelaide

Royal Australian Navy commissions second LHD HMAS Adelaide powered by GE LM2500 marine gas turbines   GE Marine reports that its LM2500 gas turbines now power

Fincantieri Launches Majestic Princess for China

Italian shipbuilder Fincantieri has launched its first cruise ship destined for the Chinese market, and will now begin interior fittings ahead of the vessel’s delivery scheduled for spring 2017.

New Offshore Vessel to be Fitted with Cathelco BWTS

Cathelco is supplying a ballast water treatment (BWT) system for a new offshore vessel built by Eastern Shipbuilding Group Inc., for Harvey Gulf International Marine, LLC.

Tanker Trends

Oversupplied Market Eyes Floating Storage Opportunities

Brent oil price reached lows of $27/bbl in mid-January, but has recovered over the past two weeks to above the $30/bbl mark. Nevertheless, volatility is expected

Norway will be Lithuania's 2016 Top Gas Supplier

Lithuania will import more gas from Norway than from former sole supplier Russia in 2016 after developing infrastructure to support liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports,

Crowley Christens 2nd LNG-ready Product Tanker

Crowley christens second of four newly built, LNG-ready product tankers for use in U.S. coastwise trade   Crowley Maritime Corp. has christened the second of

Bulk Carrier Trends

Baltic Index Touches New Record Low

The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index, which tracks rates for ships carrying industrial commodities, registered a new all-time low on Monday on muted vessel demand.

LNG Bulker Cements Thordon's Green Future

Sea trials aboard Greenland, the world’s first LNG-fuelled short-sea dry bulk vessel, have validated the performance of Thordon Bearings COMPAC propeller shaft solution,

Demolition Age Drops as the Dry Bulk Market Enters Another Challenging Year

The dry bulk market faced a lot of headwind in 2015 as dwindling demand and over-supply created very unfavourable market conditions, says BIMCO.   2016 has shown

Finance

Baltic Index Touches New Record Low

The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index, which tracks rates for ships carrying industrial commodities, registered a new all-time low on Monday on muted vessel demand.

Oversupplied Market Eyes Floating Storage Opportunities

Brent oil price reached lows of $27/bbl in mid-January, but has recovered over the past two weeks to above the $30/bbl mark. Nevertheless, volatility is expected

Norway will be Lithuania's 2016 Top Gas Supplier

Lithuania will import more gas from Norway than from former sole supplier Russia in 2016 after developing infrastructure to support liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports,

Container Ships

Hapag-Lloyd Sees Uptick of Incorrectly Declared Dangerous Goods

Year-on-year increase of 65 percent; more than 4,300 cases worldwide   Container shipper Hapag-Lloyd said it registered considerably more incorrectly declared dangerous goods last year,

Containership Detained in Tacoma for Safety Violations

The 685-foot Liberian-flagged containership Westwood Robson is being held in port after significant safety violations were discovered by Port State Control officers from U.

DP World 2015 Box Volumes Rise 2.4 pct

Dubai's DP World, one of the world's biggest port operators, on Monday said its 2015 annual gross container volumes rose 2.4 percent on a like-for-like basis and

 
 
Maritime Contracts Maritime Security Naval Architecture Navigation Pod Propulsion Port Authority Salvage Ship Repair Ship Simulators Shipbuilding / Vessel Construction
rss | archive | history | articles | privacy | contributors | top maritime news | about us | copyright | maritime magazines
maritime security news | shipbuilding news | maritime industry | shipping news | maritime reporting | workboats news | ship design | maritime business

Time taken: 0.1238 sec (8 req/sec)