Shipping Industry Still More Confident, But Some Waver

MarineLink.com
Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Overall confidence levels in the shipping industry held firm over the three-month period to August 2013, maintaining the highest level reached since November 2010, according to Moore Stephens' latest Shipping Confidence Survey, but some industry insiders they sounded out had mixed views.

There was a theme of quietly returning confidence running through the comments of a number of respondents. “There is a feeling of optimism and the sense that we have turned a corner, with supply and demand expected to come into balance,” said one respondent.” Another noted, “The market is waking up, and more opportunities will appear in the near future,” and another still that, “The shipping market is very competitive and constantly evolving, with more and more new players entering the industry as the demand for shipping cargo by sea continues to increase.”

Elsewhere it was noted, “The shipping industry is seemingly moving towards a positive place, albeit slowly,” and, “The shipping market is on the rise, and will continue on that path.” One respondent said, “A shrinking orderbook, combined with the anticipated US and European economic recovery, should help to increase demand in 2014.”

Not everybody was so confident, say Moore Stephens, with one respondent going so far as to say, “We have never known a period in shipping where the uncertainty factor has been so high in so many areas.” Another said, “Looking at the moves of some of the major players, we have to ask whether we are all blind or just plain ignorant. The rest of us will be paying for a handful of greedy CEOs who hide behind their number-crunchers who make everything look bright and shiny.”

Another respondent observed, “Some niche markets are showing definite signs of a boom, but others are still in decline. Any overall recovery is still at least another two years away. Managing to survive the last five years is no guarantee that a company will survive the next five.” Elsewhere it was noted that the abiding message must be, “Consolidate, consolidate, consolidate!”

A number of respondents expressed continuing concern about overcapacity. “Our biggest fear,” said one, “is that the financial markets will enter the shipping sector and start ordering new vessels again before moderate growth and scrapping volumes have had time to absorb excess tonnage.” Another said, “We are already worrying about the market from 2016 onwards because too many newbuilding orders are being placed on pure spec.”

One respondent said, “A lot of companies and investment funds seem to have the money and courage to invest again in new orders because they see that building prices have bottomed out. But we already have a serious problem with oversupply in all sectors and all tonnage sizes which will certainly not be solved by the time those new ships now being ordered will be ready to enter service.”

A number of respondents referenced the debilitating effect of overtonnaging on freight rates. “Freight rates need to rise,” said one, “but this will not happen while the supply of ships exceeds demand.” Another emphasised, “Freight rates cannot go up unless more ships are scrapped. Newbuilding should be stopped for a specified period, and the supply of easy cash should be regulated.”

Source: Moore Stephens
http://www.moorestephens.co.uk/Home.aspx

 

Maritime Reporter February 2015 Digital Edition
FREE Maritime Reporter Subscription
Latest Maritime News    rss feeds

People & Company News

ThyssenKrupp Says Submarines Part of Growth Story

Germany's Thyssenkrupp sees its submarine business as making an important contribution to its growth targets, the head of its Industrial Solutions business area said on Tuesday.

Two Newbuilds Delivered to Star Bulk

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. took delivery on February 27 of M/V Honey Badger (ex HN NE 164) and M/V Wolverine (ex HN NE 165), two 61,000 dwt Ultramax bulk carriers

Brazil Truck Strike Diminishes

Some truck drivers in Brazil continued blocking roads on Tuesday, slowing grains deliveries to southern ports, even as adherence to the strike diminished and a

Shipbuilding

Shipping Industry Faces Shake Up

As global shipping grapples with its worst downturn in 30 years, private equity firms are unwinding massive bets made on the sector in a move set to accelerate

ThyssenKrupp Says Submarines Part of Growth Story

Germany's Thyssenkrupp sees its submarine business as making an important contribution to its growth targets, the head of its Industrial Solutions business area said on Tuesday.

Gas Turbine Alternator Installed into Aircraft Carrier

The Aircraft Carrier Alliance has completed the installation of the first MT30 Gas Turbine Alternator (GTA) package into the Royal Navy’s latest aircraft carrier HMS Prince of Wales,

Tanker Trends

Shipping Industry Faces Shake Up

As global shipping grapples with its worst downturn in 30 years, private equity firms are unwinding massive bets made on the sector in a move set to accelerate

Vessel Sales: February 2015

Vessel sales for February 2015  - (as of March 1) as prepared by Shipping Intelligence, Inc., New York.   Date Reported - Vessel Name - DWT - Built -  - (Age)

Oil Storage at Sea Stalls as Profit Play Fades

Traders are cutting plans to use tankers to store oil at sea as the price incentive recedes, the global head of oil at mining and commodities group Glencore's said on Tuesday.

Bulk Carrier Trends

Shipping Industry Faces Shake Up

As global shipping grapples with its worst downturn in 30 years, private equity firms are unwinding massive bets made on the sector in a move set to accelerate

Vessel Sales: February 2015

Vessel sales for February 2015  - (as of March 1) as prepared by Shipping Intelligence, Inc., New York.   Date Reported - Vessel Name - DWT - Built -  - (Age)

First Ship to Load Soy at Tegram Bound for China

The first ship to load soybeans from the new Tegram terminal in the northeastern port of Ponta Madeira in Sao Luis, Brazil, will berth on March 10, local shipping agents Cargonave said on Tuesday.

Finance

Shipping Industry Faces Shake Up

As global shipping grapples with its worst downturn in 30 years, private equity firms are unwinding massive bets made on the sector in a move set to accelerate

Gulf of Mexico Oil Production on the Rise

Because of the long timelines associated with Gulf of Mexico (GOM) projects, the recent downturn in oil prices is expected to have minimal direct impact on GOM crude oil production through 2016.

Vessel Sales: February 2015

Vessel sales for February 2015  - (as of March 1) as prepared by Shipping Intelligence, Inc., New York.   Date Reported - Vessel Name - DWT - Built -  - (Age)

Container Ships

Shipping Industry Faces Shake Up

As global shipping grapples with its worst downturn in 30 years, private equity firms are unwinding massive bets made on the sector in a move set to accelerate

Vessel Sales: February 2015

Vessel sales for February 2015  - (as of March 1) as prepared by Shipping Intelligence, Inc., New York.   Date Reported - Vessel Name - DWT - Built -  - (Age)

Ferguson Appoints Partner OPS-OES

Ferguson Group Singapore, a specialist in the provision of DNV 2.7-1 / EN12079 offshore containers, reefers, tanks, waste skips, baskets, accommodation and engineering

Logistics

First Ship to Load Soy at Tegram Bound for China

The first ship to load soybeans from the new Tegram terminal in the northeastern port of Ponta Madeira in Sao Luis, Brazil, will berth on March 10, local shipping agents Cargonave said on Tuesday.

Brazil Truck Strike Diminishes

Some truck drivers in Brazil continued blocking roads on Tuesday, slowing grains deliveries to southern ports, even as adherence to the strike diminished and a

Ferguson Appoints Partner OPS-OES

Ferguson Group Singapore, a specialist in the provision of DNV 2.7-1 / EN12079 offshore containers, reefers, tanks, waste skips, baskets, accommodation and engineering

 
 
Maritime Careers / Shipboard Positions Maritime Security Maritime Standards Naval Architecture Offshore Oil Port Authority Salvage Ship Electronics Ship Repair Shipbuilding / Vessel Construction
rss | archive | history | articles | privacy | terms and conditions | contributors | top maritime news | about us | copyright | maritime magazines
maritime security news | shipbuilding news | maritime industry | shipping news | maritime reporting | workboats news | ship design | maritime business

Time taken: 0.1832 sec (5 req/sec)