Tanker Market: A Pessimistic Outlook

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Drewry Maritime Research’s latest Tanker Forecaster report indicates that Suezmax owners got some respite in the first quarter of the year, but things are looking bleak in the longer term. Spot rates firmed on the back of buoyant demand in the Caribs, Arabian Gulf and West Africa, but rising bunker prices would have absorbed much of the increase. US demand for West African crude was the one to watch as it staged a recovery in March and underpinned Suezmax rates on the benchmark TD5 (West Africa / Caribs - US) route, with earnings surging 64% to $18,733pd. 
But the recent market strength seems a mere aberration rather than a fundamental upward shift. Fundamentals are expected to remain bearish in the near term with the supply-demand gap broadening and a larger number of vessels chasing fewer cargoes.
That lack of confidence was visible in the time charter market, with only two Suezmax vessels fixed during the first quarter. The 12-month rate for five-year old vessels averaged $17,067pd, down about 2.5% from the previous quarter.
Demand is likely to suffer from seasonal weakness in the coming quarter, while the fleet will continue to expand. Drewry expects the Suezmax supply-demand gap to widen from 12.8 million dwt to 14.8 million dwt in the second quarter, while earnings on West Africa-Caribs/USES are expected to average $11,800pd.
With the fleet growing by 7% in 2012 and 2013, market conditions will only start to improve from 2013 onwards, mainly on expected improvement in demand with recovery in the global economy.
 

Maritime Today


The Maritime Industry's original and most viewed E-News Service

Maritime Reporter June 2016 Digital Edition
FREE Maritime Reporter Subscription
Latest Maritime News    rss feeds

Tanker Trends

Essberger Fleet Moves to Marlink’s Sealink VSAT Service

The Hamburg headquartered John T. Essberger (JTE) Group will migrate the primary communication systems of its entire fleet to Sealink, Marlink’s global maritime broadband VSAT service.

China's Robust Crude Oil Imports Mask Changing Fuel Dynamics

China is a bigger concern for crude oil and products markets than the current worries about the British vote to leave the European Union.   While the news media

Navig8 Chemical Adds New Tanker from Kitanihon

Chemical shipping company Navig8 Chemical Tankers Inc. has taken delivery of its first stainless steel chemical tanker, the Navig8 Sirius, from Japanese shipbuilder Kitanihon Shipbuilding Co.

Finance

CMA CGM Crosses 91.05% Ownership Threshold of NOL

CMA CGM S.A has crossed the compulsory acquisition ownership threshold in Neptune Orient Lines Limited (NOL).    Following its all-cash voluntary conditional

Navios Partners Appoints Lampros Theodorou as Director

US-listed owner and operator of container and dry bulk vessels Navios Maritime Partners has appointed Lampros Theodorou to its Board of Directors.   “We are delighted Mr.

Baltic Index Rises for Fifth Consecutive Session

The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities, rose on Tuesday for a fifth straight session on stronger demand across all vessel segments.

 
 
Maritime Careers / Shipboard Positions Maritime Security Maritime Standards Offshore Oil Pipelines Pod Propulsion Port Authority Ship Electronics Ship Repair Shipbuilding / Vessel Construction
rss | archive | history | articles | privacy | contributors | top maritime news | about us | copyright | maritime magazines
maritime security news | shipbuilding news | maritime industry | shipping news | maritime reporting | workboats news | ship design | maritime business

Time taken: 0.0729 sec (14 req/sec)