Tanker Market: A Pessimistic Outlook

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Drewry Maritime Research’s latest Tanker Forecaster report indicates that Suezmax owners got some respite in the first quarter of the year, but things are looking bleak in the longer term. Spot rates firmed on the back of buoyant demand in the Caribs, Arabian Gulf and West Africa, but rising bunker prices would have absorbed much of the increase. US demand for West African crude was the one to watch as it staged a recovery in March and underpinned Suezmax rates on the benchmark TD5 (West Africa / Caribs - US) route, with earnings surging 64% to $18,733pd. 
But the recent market strength seems a mere aberration rather than a fundamental upward shift. Fundamentals are expected to remain bearish in the near term with the supply-demand gap broadening and a larger number of vessels chasing fewer cargoes.
That lack of confidence was visible in the time charter market, with only two Suezmax vessels fixed during the first quarter. The 12-month rate for five-year old vessels averaged $17,067pd, down about 2.5% from the previous quarter.
Demand is likely to suffer from seasonal weakness in the coming quarter, while the fleet will continue to expand. Drewry expects the Suezmax supply-demand gap to widen from 12.8 million dwt to 14.8 million dwt in the second quarter, while earnings on West Africa-Caribs/USES are expected to average $11,800pd.
With the fleet growing by 7% in 2012 and 2013, market conditions will only start to improve from 2013 onwards, mainly on expected improvement in demand with recovery in the global economy.
 

Maritime Reporter May 2015 Digital Edition
FREE Maritime Reporter Subscription
Latest Maritime News    rss feeds

Tanker Trends

Unicom Selects the Ecochlor BWTS for 10 Tankers

Ecochlor, Inc. announced that Unicom Management Services (Cyprus) Ltd. (Unicom), acting for SCF Group, signed a 10-vessel agreement for the Ecochlor Ballast Water Treatment System (BWTS) in Limassol,

Kongsberg Contracted to Support FLNG Conversion

Kongsberg Maritime secures position in the LNG market with electrical and automation contract for Golar Hilli FLNG   Keppel Shipyard in Singapore and Black & Veatch in the U.

US Oil Contango Vanishing as Supply Glut Shifts Abroad

The U.S. oil market is on the brink of returning to a more bullish footing known as backwardation for the first time in six months, with the discount for prompt

Finance

US Oil Contango Vanishing as Supply Glut Shifts Abroad

The U.S. oil market is on the brink of returning to a more bullish footing known as backwardation for the first time in six months, with the discount for prompt

Mexico Removes Bid Limit on Shallow Water Oil Tenders

Mexico's oil regulator voted on Friday to relax previously established rules on bidding terms and contracts that form the first step in an historic sector opening

Wärtsilä Acquires L-3 MSI

Wärtsilä completes acquisition of L-3 Marine Systems International    Wärtsilä Corporation announced that its acquisition of the Germany based L-3 Marine Systems

 
 
Maritime Careers / Shipboard Positions Maritime Security Naval Architecture Offshore Oil Port Authority Salvage Ship Electronics Ship Repair Sonar Winch
rss | archive | history | articles | privacy | contributors | top maritime news | about us | copyright | maritime magazines
maritime security news | shipbuilding news | maritime industry | shipping news | maritime reporting | workboats news | ship design | maritime business

Time taken: 0.1275 sec (8 req/sec)