Iraq Strife Offers Little Upside to Depressed Tanker Markets: Analyst

By George Backwell
Wednesday, June 25, 2014
Tankship bridge front: File photo

The situation in Iraq has taken center stage in the oil markets. Iraq is now in a state of sectarian civil war and the most likely situation is that the country will become mired in a protracted Syria-like conflict, with the population divided along ethno-sectarian lines. But this offers little upside for currently depressed tanker markets, considers PIRA Energy Group's Weekly Oil Market Recap.

Baiji Refinery Under Siege and Has Ceased Operation
Iraq’s Baiji refinery is likely to be idle for a prolonged period, requiring Iraq to import additional refined products. Possible sources are other Middle Eastern countries, Turkey and India.

There is capability to import products at the southern port of Basrah, but deliveries by truck from neighboring countries will certainly be needed. This could prove difficult with the ISIS fighters in control of much of northern Iraq.

With Baiji operating in 2013, Iraqi product imports totaled 200 MB/D. If all of Baiji’s light product production needed to be replaced, imports would need to increase by an additional 120 MB/D, or consumption will fall.

Freight Market Outlook
The situation in Iraq has taken center stage in the oil markets. Iraq is now in a state of sectarian civil war and the most likely situation is that the country will become mired in a protracted Syria-like conflict, with the population divided along ethno-sectarian lines. But this offers little upside for currently depressed tanker markets.

Northern Iraqi exports are unlikely to return soon but the 2.6 MMB/D of current southern exports remain relatively well-protected. Previously forecast production growth from Iraq is now unlikely. This will translate into higher flat crude prices and higher bunker prices versus PIRA’s previous assessments and ultimately lower global oil demand and trade.

Source: PIRA Energy Group's latest 'Weekly Oil Market Recap'

Maritime Reporter April 2015 Digital Edition
FREE Maritime Reporter Subscription
Latest Maritime News    rss feeds

People & Company News

BIMCO Welcomes EU Decision on Migrants

BIMCO has stated today that it appreciates the new efforts by EU leaders to reduce increasing reliance on merchant shipping to rescue the growing numbers of

Long Beach, Los Angeles ports host forum to gather input

More than 100 cargo owners, trucking firm leaders, longshore labor, marine terminals and other goods movement industry representatives turned out Wednesday for

Arctic Nations to Fight Climate Change Despite Russia Tensions

The eight Arctic Council nations pledged on Friday to do more to combat climate change that is shrinking the vast frigid region, with countries trying to put

Tanker Trends

APM Maasvlakte II Terminal Opens

APM Terminals Maasvlakte II held a ceremony  to celebrate the opening of the world’s most automated container terminal.   The  event that was attended by Dutch

MISC Says AET Tankers Unit Not for Sale

MISC Berhad issued a statement today addressing recent market speculation that the company is set to sell its wholly owned petroleum tanker subsidiary AET Tankers.

Strong Tanker Market Extends Peak Season High Earnings

Tanker earnings for crude oil tankers have climbed to new strong levels in the first quarter of 2015, with averages not seen since 2008, the Baltic and International Maritime Council (BIMCO) reported.

Finance

Norwegian Car Carriers to Buy Two from Hyundai Samho

Oslo-listed Norwegian Car Carriers (NOCC) has signed a contract with Hyundai Samho Heavy Industries for the construction of two 6500 ceu Pure Car Truck Carrier (OCTCs).

Long Beach, Los Angeles ports host forum to gather input

More than 100 cargo owners, trucking firm leaders, longshore labor, marine terminals and other goods movement industry representatives turned out Wednesday for

Venezuela Probes ex-minister accused of corruption in Ferry Deals

A former minister in President Nicolas Maduro's government denied in an interview published on Friday accusations of corruption during the purchase of three

Energy

Goliat FPSO in Norway

The Goliat FPSO was successfully floated off the heavy-lift vessel, Dockwise Vanguard, in the fjord outside Hammerfest, says Eni Norge    The Goliat platform has arrived in Hammerfest,

Skangass Celebrates Topping Up

Nordic liquefied natural gas operator Skangass  has celebrated a topping out ceremony at its Pori LNG terminal. The company said it was making progress in the

Falklands' Oil Drilling at Isobel Deep Suspended

Oil explorers drilling in the waters north of the Falkland Islands have suspended work on the second well of their 2015 current six-well drilling campaign after a technical problem.

Fuels & Lubes

Skangass Celebrates Topping Up

Nordic liquefied natural gas operator Skangass  has celebrated a topping out ceremony at its Pori LNG terminal. The company said it was making progress in the

H-Energy to Build Floating LNG Terminal in West Bengal and Canada

Business Standard reported that real estate developer Hiranandani Group plans to set up a INR 2,400 crore floating LNG import terminal off Haldia, West Bengal

Oil Price Shock Soon to be Positive Overall for Canada

Canada's economy will start to show more positive effects from the drop in oil prices than negatives from the second quarter onwards, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz said on Friday.

Consulting

Long Beach, Los Angeles ports host forum to gather input

More than 100 cargo owners, trucking firm leaders, longshore labor, marine terminals and other goods movement industry representatives turned out Wednesday for

Salvage and Wreck Removal Conference

HINODE Events and Services Pvt Ltd., have announced the 4th Annual Conference on Salvage and Wreck Removal in India to be held on Wednesday, July 8, 2015 at Visakhapatnam on India's East Coast.

Technip dividend FY 2014

At the Annual General Meeting, held today, Technip’s shareholders approved the proposed €2.00 per share dividend for the 2014 financial year and decided to offer

 
 
Maritime Careers / Shipboard Positions Maritime Security Maritime Standards Offshore Oil Pod Propulsion Port Authority Ship Electronics Ship Repair Ship Simulators Winch
rss | archive | history | articles | privacy | contributors | top maritime news | about us | copyright | maritime magazines
maritime security news | shipbuilding news | maritime industry | shipping news | maritime reporting | workboats news | ship design | maritime business

Time taken: 0.2660 sec (4 req/sec)