Iraq Strife Offers Little Upside to Depressed Tanker Markets: Analyst

By George Backwell
Wednesday, June 25, 2014
Tankship bridge front: File photo

The situation in Iraq has taken center stage in the oil markets. Iraq is now in a state of sectarian civil war and the most likely situation is that the country will become mired in a protracted Syria-like conflict, with the population divided along ethno-sectarian lines. But this offers little upside for currently depressed tanker markets, considers PIRA Energy Group's Weekly Oil Market Recap.

Baiji Refinery Under Siege and Has Ceased Operation
Iraq’s Baiji refinery is likely to be idle for a prolonged period, requiring Iraq to import additional refined products. Possible sources are other Middle Eastern countries, Turkey and India.

There is capability to import products at the southern port of Basrah, but deliveries by truck from neighboring countries will certainly be needed. This could prove difficult with the ISIS fighters in control of much of northern Iraq.

With Baiji operating in 2013, Iraqi product imports totaled 200 MB/D. If all of Baiji’s light product production needed to be replaced, imports would need to increase by an additional 120 MB/D, or consumption will fall.

Freight Market Outlook
The situation in Iraq has taken center stage in the oil markets. Iraq is now in a state of sectarian civil war and the most likely situation is that the country will become mired in a protracted Syria-like conflict, with the population divided along ethno-sectarian lines. But this offers little upside for currently depressed tanker markets.

Northern Iraqi exports are unlikely to return soon but the 2.6 MMB/D of current southern exports remain relatively well-protected. Previously forecast production growth from Iraq is now unlikely. This will translate into higher flat crude prices and higher bunker prices versus PIRA’s previous assessments and ultimately lower global oil demand and trade.

Source: PIRA Energy Group's latest 'Weekly Oil Market Recap'

Maritime Reporter June 2015 Digital Edition
FREE Maritime Reporter Subscription
Latest Maritime News    rss feeds

People & Company News

Indonesia Expects Total to Decide on Mahakam within days

French oil firm Total  will decide how much interest it will retain from 2018 in Indonesia's offshore Mahakam oil and gas block over the next two days, the

Research Vessel Heincke: Serving Science for 25 years

7 July 2015. A quarter of a century old, with over 900,000 kilometres (488,842 nautical miles) logged and still on the cutting edge of science and technology:

Stena RoRo Charters Three Vessels

Stena RoRo has reached an agreement with the Finnish shipping company Godby Shipping to long-term charter their three RoRo vessels Misida, Misana and Miranda.

Tanker Trends

NITC Claims World's Largest Supertanker Fleet

According to the head of the National Iranian Tanker Company (NITC), Iran has 42 very large crude carriers or VLCCs, each able to carry 2 million barrels of oil, reports Press TV.

Teekay LNG Partners Declares Distribution

Teekay GP LLC, the general partner of Teekay LNG Partners L.P. has declared a cash distribution of $0.70 per unit for the quarter ended June 30, 2015. The cash distribution is payable on August 14,

NITC Tankers Chart Western Course

Iran’s largest shipping company NITC, the privatized Iranian shipping company, is in talks for permission to sail in Western waters, says a report in WSJ.   NITC

Finance

Indonesia Expects Total to Decide on Mahakam within days

French oil firm Total  will decide how much interest it will retain from 2018 in Indonesia's offshore Mahakam oil and gas block over the next two days, the

Asia-N Europe Container Freight Rates Jumps 60%

Shipping freight rates for transporting containers from ports in Asia to Northern Europe rose by 60.4 percent to $879 per 20-foot container (TEU) in the week ended on Friday,

Stena RoRo Charters Three Vessels

Stena RoRo has reached an agreement with the Finnish shipping company Godby Shipping to long-term charter their three RoRo vessels Misida, Misana and Miranda.

Energy

Indonesia Expects Total to Decide on Mahakam within days

French oil firm Total  will decide how much interest it will retain from 2018 in Indonesia's offshore Mahakam oil and gas block over the next two days, the

Research Vessel Heincke: Serving Science for 25 years

7 July 2015. A quarter of a century old, with over 900,000 kilometres (488,842 nautical miles) logged and still on the cutting edge of science and technology:

First Subsea Wet Gas Compressor Installed

After several years of technology development, construction and testing the first subsea wet gas compressor in the world is now installed at the Gullfaks C platform in the North Sea.

Fuels & Lubes

CNOOC Acquires Asia's 1st LNG Powered Tug

China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) has taken delivery of Asia’s first tugboat Hai Yang Shi You 525, designed to operate solely on liquefied natural gas as ship’s fuel.

Litgas, Statoil JV to Develop Baltic Sea LNG

Natural gas supply and trading company Litgas, part of Lithuania's state owned energy holding Lietuvos Energija, and Statoil, leading global energy company in oil and gas production,

Port Gothenburg Offering LNG

Ships running on liquefied natural gas (LNG) are going to be able to bunker at the Port of Gothenburg, as new regulations for LNG bunkering have been introduced

Consulting

Indonesia Expects Total to Decide on Mahakam within days

French oil firm Total  will decide how much interest it will retain from 2018 in Indonesia's offshore Mahakam oil and gas block over the next two days, the

Research Vessel Heincke: Serving Science for 25 years

7 July 2015. A quarter of a century old, with over 900,000 kilometres (488,842 nautical miles) logged and still on the cutting edge of science and technology:

New Record Year in Dry Bulk Demolition Underway - BIMCO

The monthly average for the first six months in 2015 is 3.3m DWT. In 2014 the first half year averaged at 1.33m DWT per month.   April 2015 saw 5.36 million DWT being retired from active service,

 
 
Maritime Careers / Shipboard Positions Maritime Security Navigation Offshore Oil Pipelines Port Authority Salvage Ship Repair Sonar Winch
rss | archive | history | articles | privacy | contributors | top maritime news | about us | copyright | maritime magazines
maritime security news | shipbuilding news | maritime industry | shipping news | maritime reporting | workboats news | ship design | maritime business

Time taken: 0.3049 sec (3 req/sec)