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Tuesday, October 23, 2018

Oil Demand News

How Refiners Plan to Grapple With Fuel Oil Output After 2020

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High-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO), essentially the leftovers of an oil refiner's output, will still flow from refineries around the world even after new rules start up in 2020 curtailing its use in the global shipping fleet, a Reuters survey showed.Sixty percent of the 33 refineries contacted by Reuters in a global survey will still produce HSFO in 2020 although the supply will tighten as 70 percent of these refiners plan to reduce their output.Starting that year, ships will have to use marine fuel…

Gulf Platforms Shut ahead of Hurricane

© Robert Cocquyt / Adobe Stock

U.S. oil prices edged up on Tuesday, rising back past $70 per barrel, after two Gulf of Mexico oil platforms were evacuated in preparation for a hurricane.U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $70.04 per barrel at 0034 GMT, up 24 cents, or 0.3 percent from their last settlement.Anadarko Petroleum Corp said on Monday it had evacuated and shut production at two oil platforms in the northern Gulf of Mexico ahead of the approach of Gordon, which is expected to come ashore as a hurricane.International Brent crude futures…

Global Oil Demand to Peak in 2023

Liv A. Hovem, CEO, DNV GL – Oil & Gas. Photo: DNV GL

While DNV GL’s model predicts global oil demand to peak in 2023, demand for gas will continue to rise until 2034. New resources will be required long after these dates to continue replacing depleting reserves. DNV GL’s 2018  Energy Transition Outlook, an independent forecast of the world energy mix in the lead-up to 2050, predicts global upstream gas capital expenditure to grow from USD960 billion (bn) in 2015, to a peak of USD1.13 trillion in 2025. Upstream gas operating expenditure is set to rise from USD448 bn in 2015 to USD582 bn in 2035…

Tanker Market Grappling with More Uncertainty

© Thor Jorgen Udvang / Adobe Stock

Tanker shipping: Added uncertainty is not helpful to the struggling tankersDemandJust when you thought it could not get any worse for the tanker shipping industry, the U.S. is reimposing sanctions on Iran coming into force after a six months wind-down period ending on November 4, 2018. The immediate effects are less tangible but sure to add more uncertainty to the whole shipping industry that has plenty of uncertainty to deal with already.At the same time, freight rates for both crude oil tankers and oil product tankers are mostly in loss making territory.

U.S. Oil Exports set to Take Off by 2022

File Image: A typical VLCC underway (EuroNav)

Enterprise sees four-fold jump in U.S. crude exports by 2022. Crude oil exports from the United States will increase to meet 5 percent of global demand by 2022, as refiners seek more low-sulphur crude to meet stricter rules for cleaner fuels, an executive from Enterprise Partners LP said on Monday. U.S. oil exports may rise to about 4 million barrels per day (bpd) by 2022, a four-fold jump from this year, said Brent Secrest, a senior vice president at Enterprise Products. During that same period…

Global Trade Surge Fuel Oil Markets

Global trade is growing at the fastest rate for six years - which is both a symptom and a cause of the recovery in commodity markets. World trade volumes were up almost 5 percent year-on-year from May to July, according to estimates compiled by government economic planners in the Netherlands. Growth was four times faster than at the same point in 2016 (http://tmsnrt.rs/2y89NxC). Global trade and commodity markets are linked in a circular causal relationship, which is one of the most important in the macroeconomy and a key source of fluctuations in the business cycle. Commodities, from grains to minerals, metals and oil, are the largest item in global trade by tonnage, so the state of commodity markets has a major impact on world trade flows.

Hovem Named CEO of DNV GL Oil & Gas

Liv Hovem (Photo: DNV GL)

Liv Hovem will step in as CEO of DNV GL’s Oil & Gas business area from January 1, 2018. She will be based at the DNV GL – Oil & Gas headquarters in Høvik, Norway as a member of the DNV GL Group's Executive Committee reporting to Group President and CEO Remi Eriksen. Hovem succeeds Elisabeth Tørstad, who has been appointed CEO of DNV GL’s new Digital Solutions business area. Hovem has been with DNV GL since 1988, most recently as Regional Manager for Continental Europe, the Middle East and India in DNV GL’s Oil & Gas business.

Statoil Charters ULCC to Hold Crude for Asia buyers

File Image (CREDIT: AdobeStock / (c) Jose Gill)

Oil storage is feasible with low freight rates, capital costs; backwardation pushes traders to churn oil faster from storage. Norway's Statoil ASA has chartered the last remaining Ultra-Large Crude Carrier (ULCC), the world's largest oil tankers, to store oil off of Malaysia for distribution in smaller parcels to its clients in Asia, company executives said. Statoil has booked the TI Europe, capable of carrying up to 3 million barrels of oil, more than the daily consumption of South Korea…

Glencore Sees Record Oil Trading Volumes as Margins Shrink

Glencore looks set to cement its position as the world's second-largest oil trader as it tries to offset low volatility and tight margins with record volumes this year, its global head of oil, Alex Beard, told Reuters. The London-listed commodities trader and miner will shift around 6 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude and refined product this year, up 25 percent from last year. The figure represents around 6 percent of global supply and only rival Vitol trades more oil, at some 7 million bpd. Most merchants are being forced to ramp up volumes to protect profits in an environment of low volatility. "We don’t set targets in terms of volumes," Beard told the annual Reuters Global Commodities Summit.

Brent Crude at 27-month High Even as U.S. Exports spike

File Image (CREDIT: AdobeStock / (c) Jose Gill)

Saudi Crown Prince takes bullish stance on supply cut deal; U.S. crude inventories show surprise build even as crude exports hit new record four-week average. Brent crude closed at a 27-month high on Thursday as the market focused more on comments from Saudi Arabia about ending a global supply glut instead of an unexpected increase in U.S. crude inventories and high U.S. production and exports. Brent futures gained 86 cents, or 1.5 percent, to settle at $59.30 a barrel, its highest close since July 3, 2015. U.S.

Euronav: VLCC Order Book Expands

Photo: Euronav

The challenging freight market during the third quarter came despite some encouraging signs with active scrapping of vessels returning (nine VLCCs scrapped plus one removed from fleet for FPSO project; six Suezmax scrapped during the third quarter) incentivized by a steel price at near three-year highs, says Euronav NV. This was supported by continued upgrades to crude oil demand with the IEA raising its forecast for 2017 from 1.2 mbpd to 1.6 mbpd over the course of the third quarter and U.S. crude exports again making further progress to record on average 933k bpd for the third quarter.

US to Become Oil and Gas World Leader in Long Term - IEA

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The head of the International Energy Agency Fatih Birol said on Thursday the United States would - in the long term - become the "undisputed leader of oil and gas production worldwide".   Speaking at the U.N. climate conference in Bonn, Germany, he said the agency expected oil markets to rebalance next year if oil demand remained "more or less" as robust as it is today and if OPEC and non-OPEC continued with their oil production cuts.     (Reporting by Ahmad Ghaddar; Editing by Mark Potter)

Crude Tanker Shipping Market to Get Hurt in 2018

Graph:  Drewry Shipping Consultants Limited

Crude tanker freight rates are expected to decline further in 2018 following a sharp decline in 2017, according to the latest edition of the Tanker Forecaster, published by global shipping consultancy Drewry. Although tonnage supply growth in the crude tanker market is expected to be low next year after surging in 2017, this will not be enough to push tonnage utilisation rates higher as demand growth is expected to be sluggish. A slowdown in global oil demand growth and a likely decline in China’s stocking activity will keep growth in the crude oil trade moderate next year.

Hedging Energy Bets: The Case for a 2018 Oil Bull Run

© Renovacio/Adobe Stock

Hedge funds gamble OPEC will tighten oil market too much. Hedge funds are the most bullish about oil prices in years, expecting further gains even as prices touch multi-year highs and ignoring the risk linked to such a large concentration of positions. A record net long position has been accumulated by hedge funds and other money managers, amounting to 1,183 million barrels in the five biggest futures and options contracts covering crude, gasoline and heating oil. Portfolio managers held a record 1,328 million barrels of long positions in Brent, WTI, U.S. gasoline and U.S. heating oil on Dec.

Euronav Freight Rates Slide, but Q4 Results Beat Street

File Image: A Euronav VLCC underway. CREDIT: Euronav)

Belgian crude oil shipper Euronav's freight rates in the fourth quarter hit their lowest level since 2012, hurt by excess available tonnage, the company said on Thursday. However, rates were still higher than many analysts had expected, pushing Euronav's shares up 1.4 percent by 0847 GMT. The world tanker fleet expanded by 4.8 percent in 2017 as a large wave of new deliveries offset scrapping, while an agreement in November between OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers to extend output cuts until the end of 2018 has added to pressures on tanker companies.

Ardmore Shipping Reports Net Loss of $12.5 Mln

Pic: Ardmore Shipping Corporation.

Tanker owner Ardmore Shipping Corporation reported a net loss of $12.5 million for the twelve months ended December 31, 2017, or $0.37 basic and diluted loss per share, as compared to a net profit of $3.7 million, or $0.12 basic and diluted earnings per share, for the twelve months ended December 31, 2016. The company acquired the Ardmore Sealancer, a high-quality 47,500 Dwt MR product tanker constructed at Onomichi Dockyard Co. Ltd. in Japan in 2008. Ardmore took delivery of the vessel on January 23, 2018.

BIMCO: China Breaks New Ground… Again

© Igor Groshev / Adobe Stock

Chinese seaborne imports of iron ore, coal and crude oil have all grown strongly throughout 2017. Both seaborne imports of crude oil and iron ore have reached the highest levels ever recorded, while coal reached the highest level in three years. Imports of crude oil and coal have benefitted the shipping industry to the greatest extent as both volumes and distances have increased. China continues to ramp up its imports of iron ore with seaborne imports growing 4.7% in 2017 compared to 2016.

Nordic American Tankers: Near term challenges remain - CS

File Image (CREDIT: AdobeStock / (c) Carabay)

Oil tanker company's shares down 1.8 pct at $2.15 premarket. Credit Suisse halves PT to $2, says near-term challenges remain. "On the heels of the second-worst year for tankers in 20 years, this seems to be the growing consensus," said Credit Suisse. 1 of 9 brokerages rate the stock "buy", 5 "hold" and 3 "sell" or lower; Median PT $2.50.

MISC Profit Plunges

LNG Vessel - Seri Alam. Photo: MISC Berhad

Malaysia International Shipping Corporation Berhad (MISC)'s net profit plunged 87.1% to RM 68.2 million (USD 17.36 mln) for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2017 compared with RM 529.8 million (USD 134.88 mln) in the previous corresponding period. MISC said the oversupply of tonnage and cut in global oil production by OPEC in 2017 will continue to weigh on the petroleum shipping segment in 2018. However, a smaller order book for tankers and robust oil demand projections amidst declining global crude inventory will help improve tanker supply-demand balance.

India's Oil Imports Reach Record High in January

© Raja Stills / Adobe Stock

India imported a record 4.93 million barrels of oil per day (bpd) in January to feed its expanded refining capacity and meet rising demand, ship tracking data obtained from sources and data compiled by Thomson Reuters Oil Research & Forecasts showed. The world's third-biggest oil importer shipped in 13.6 percent more oil in January than a year earlier and about 12.5 percent more than the previous month, the data showed. Imports in January were high as state-run refiners, which operate two-third of India's nearly 5 million bpd capacity…

Oil Backlog Off China Limits Prospects for Fresh Atlantic Basin Shipments

© cascoly2 / Adobe Stock

A backlog of crude cargoes has built up off the coast of China, limiting prospects for new shipments to the world's largest oil importer, trading and shipping sources said. The amount of oil floating in tankers off China has risen partly due to tax changes and an anti-pollution drive that have depressed oil demand from small, independent refiners, known as "teapots". Maintenance has curtailed run rates at others. This has combined with aggressive selling, particularly from West Africa, that pushed vessels to the region even when early warning signs showed crude demand could falter.

2020 Low-sulfur Rule to Trigger Huge Disruptions -IEA

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The shipping industry and oil refineries are not doing enough to prepare for new rules cutting the amount of sulfur that vessels can emit from 2020, according to the head of the International Energy Agency's (IEA) oil industry and market division.The new rules drastically cut the amount of sulfur that the world's ships can emit, from 3.5 percent currently to just 0.5 percent. Ships that install "scrubbers" that remove sulfur as the fuel is burned can continue to use higher sulfur fuels…

Scrubbers 'No Silver Bullet' for Shipping -Wartsila

© Diego Cardini / Adobe Stock

Global shipping fleet must cut sulfur emissions by 2020. Wartsila received record orders for sulfur scrubbers last year. Shipping industry hopes that so-called sulfur scrubbers are a quick-fix solution to compliance with drastic emissions reduction demanded by 2020 are somewhat misguided, one of the world's biggest manufacturers of the equipment told Reuters. The International Maritime Organization's (IMO) cut to the amount of sulfur the world's fleet can emit will have massive implications for shippers, oil refiners and even crude oil producers.

Maritime Reporter Magazine Cover Oct 2018 - Marine Design Annual

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