Peter Sand News

22 Nov 2019

Baltic Index Snaps Losing Streak

© Aleksey Stemmer / Adobe Stock

The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index on Friday rose for the first time in seven sessions, helped by an uptick in capesize rates.* The Baltic index, which tracks rates for capesize, panamax and supramax vessels ferrying dry bulk commodities, rose 29 points, or 2.3%, to 1,284 points.* For the week, however, the index recorded its sixth straight fall, declining by 5.4%.* The capesize index rose 92 points, or 3.8%, to 2,493, but still shed 5.4% in the week, its fifth fall…

08 Nov 2019

IMO2020: Market Uncertainty Brings More Fuel Oil Price Volatility

Photo: BIMCO

The oil market has recently been shaken up by geopolitical events, but volatility in the price difference between low and high sulphur fuel cannot be explained by that alone – the uncertainty is the chaos factor.The uncertainty of the upcoming IMO 2020 Sulphur cap regulation (IMO2020) is having a big impact on the bunker market. Whereas, the price for Marine Gas Oil Low Sulphur (MGO LS) has largely remained stable, the price for High Sulphur Fuel oil (HSFO) has been become increasingly more volatile in recent months.

30 Oct 2019

Baltic Index Inches Lower on Weaker Panamax Demand

Peter Sand, chief shipping analyst at BIMCO

The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index, which tracks rates for ships ferrying dry bulk commodities, inched lower on Wednesday on weaker demand for panamax vessels.The Baltic index, which reflects rates for capesize, panamax and supramax vessels, edged down by 20 points, or 1.1%, to 1,782.The capesize index was unchanged at 3,078 points. Limited activity in both the Atlantic and Pacific basins and the resistance of charterers to current freight rates led to lower market rates, while some fresh inquiries in the Atlantic helped curb losses, Allied Shipbroking said in a note on Tuesday.

17 Oct 2019

Tanker Deliveries Up 37%: BIMCO

Graph: BIMCO

Delivered tonnage of crude oil tankers have grown by +37%, whereas total fleet demolitions for 2019 have slumped to the lowest in a decade with a reduction of 52% from the year before, says BIMCO, the largest of the international shipping associations representing shipowners.Newbuilding orders have remained low through the year with contracted tonnage down by 48%, it said.Amidst a market filled with uncertainty and geopolitical unrest, BIMCO maintains its bearings and turns to the market fundamentals to cut through the mist of market speculation and uncertainty-driven hype.

16 Oct 2019

BIMCO’s Sand to Offer Boxship Insight in Athens

Caption: Accumulated container volumes on the Far East – Europe trade lane are up 4.6% y-o-y. The CCFI has fallen to an index level of 987, down -9% from the same period last year. 2 (Chart: BIMCO)

BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst, Peter Sand, will be speaking and providing the audience with unique insights on the container market at the European Shipping Seminar on November 27, 2019 in Athens, Greece.The European Shipping Seminar, hosted by S&P Global Platts, will discuss the various topics relating to the commercial shipping markets and take a deep dive into how the shipping industry will navigate its way through the uncertain environment of the IMO 2020 Sulphur Cap.Container shipping outlookBIMCO has persistently stressed that trade wars and protectionism are negative for shipping.

10 Oct 2019

BIMCO Offers Bunker Fuel Price Monitoring

Graph: BIMCO

BIMCO has developed a monitoring service for bunker prices, with data provided by MABUX, which is now available to all BIMCO members. The new interactive graphs allow price fluctuations in the major bunkering hubs of Singapore and Rotterdam to be tracked. They will show the bunker prices for 380cST HSFO (high sulphur fuel oil) and MGO LS (marine gas oil low sulfur), both in USD per metric ton, as well as the spread between the two fuel types, with data available since June 2017.

09 Oct 2019

Baltic Index Rises on Uptick in Capesize Demand

© Zdenar Adamsen / Adobe Stock

The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index, which tracks rates for ships ferrying dry bulk commodities, jumped on Wednesday, on stronger demand for capesize vessels driven by a seasonal uptick in Brazilian iron ore exports.* The Baltic index, which reflects rates for capesize, panamax and supramax vessels, rose 72 points, or 4%, to 1,873, its biggest daily percentage gain since Aug. 30.* The capesize index jumped 177 points, or 5.8%, to 3,208, recording its steepest percentage rise in over five weeks.* The average daily earnings for capesizes…

09 Oct 2019

BIMCO: Shipping Hurt by Soya Bean Trades

Igor Strukov / Adobe Stock

Combined soya bean exports from Brazil and the US are down 7.8% in the first eight months of this year, as the main Brazilian soya bean export season disappointed. The fall in volumes from the two countries has also led to an 8.5% drop from last year in the tonne mile demand generated by the two dominant soya bean exporters.In particular falling exports from Brazil have hurt the shipping industry, with accumulated soya bean exports from Brazil in the first eight months of this year 7.8 million tonnes lower than the first eight months of 2018.

05 Sep 2019

Baltic Index Snaps 10-day Winning Streak

Peter Sand, chief shipping analyst at BIMCO (CREDIT: BIMCO)

The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index fell on Thursday, breaking a 10-day winning streak, as rates for capesize vessels eased.The Baltic index, which tracks rates for ships ferrying dry bulk commodities, fell 19 points, or 0.8%, to 2,499 points. On Wednesday, the index hit its highest since November 2010 at 2,518 points. "We certainly expect freight rates to come down from the highest that we've seen just during the spike now, but remain profitable for the remaining part of the year…

30 Aug 2019

Capesize Strength Propels Baltic Index to 9-Year High

Peter Sand, chief shipping analyst at BIMCO

The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index climbed to a near nine-year peak on Friday propelled by robust capesize demand, with rates for all the vessel segments scaling multi-year highs.The Baltic index, which tracks rates for ships ferrying dry bulk commodities, rose 101 points, or 4.4%, to 2,378, a peak since November 2010. The main index also posted a 27.3% monthly increase, extending its winning streak to a sixth month.The capesize index jumped 261 points, or 6.2%, to 4,467, a level last seen more than 9 years ago. The index also posted its third weekly gain, up about 11.9%.

27 Aug 2019

BIMCO: US Crude Exports Soar in June 2019

Chart: BIMCO

The highest US crude oil exports to China in 11 months lifted total seaborne US crude oil exports to a record high at 11.9 million (m) tonnes in June 2019. Also contributing to the June record was South Korea, as exports to the other main Far Eastern buyer reached an all-time high volume of 2.3m tonnes.1.2m tonnes were shipped to China between June 1, and  June 30, , up from 1m tonnes in May and worlds apart from no exports at all in the months of August through October in 2018…

14 Aug 2019

BIMCO: US Soya Bean Exports - Up or Down?

Photo: BIMCO

The trade war has brought increased attention to the soya bean trade between the US and China with 2019 offering conflicting narratives. On one hand, soya bean exports to China in the first six months of 2019 are up 10.9% compared with the first half of 2018, while on the other, exports to China in the 2018/2019 marketing year are down 68.7%.With the 2019/2020 marketing year now just round the corner, this trade is unlikely to return to pre-trade war levels. The combined effects of a worsening relationship between the nations as well as a smaller US soya bean crop…

21 Jun 2019

BIMCO: VLCC Freight Rates from Gulf to China Doubles

Chart: BIMCO

VLCC spot freight rates between the Arabian Gulf and China rose 101% in the days between June 13, 2019 and June 20, 2019, in the aftermath of attacks on two tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. Spot freight rates for a VLCC, carrying 2 million barrels of oil, between the Arabian Gulf and China reached USD 25,994 per day on June 20, their highest level since March and significantly above the May average of USD 9,979 per day.Despite this increase, freight rates on this route only narrowly exceeds the daily break-even costs of a VLCC…

01 May 2019

BIMCO: "Continued Pressure" for Bulkers

Demolition of dry bulk ships in the first four months of 2019 was 120% higher than in the same period of 2018. Much of this increase comes from demolitions of Capesize ships, up from 1.1m DWT between January and April 2018 to reach 3.4m DWT in the first four months of 2019.Despite the increasing in scrapping, the bulk carrier market, particularly on the large ship side, will remain under pressure for a number of reasons, starting with stagnant demand, from the short term shock and impact of the dam collapse in Brazil and bad weather in Australia…

17 Apr 2019

“It’s the steel production, stupid!”

Peter Sand, BIMCO

BIMCO's Peter Sand, in a new report, weighs in on the implications for the Dry Bulk sectors.Chinese imports of iron ore keep falling, while its crude steel production keeps growing. China’s increased use of scrap metal for its production of crude steel is fundamentally critical to the dry bulk shipping industry. Mostly Capesize ships are impacted by this, way beyond the temporary iron ore export disruptions in Brazil and Australia.Chinese steel production grew by a massive 12.6 million tonnes (+9.2%) in the first two months on 2019 as estimated by China Iron and Steel Association (CISA).

15 Apr 2019

BIMCO: US Seaborne Crude Oil Exports Hit Record High

ULCC_AdobeStock_CREDIT Jose Gill

US exports of crude oil have, since August 2018, continued to rise every month, with a new record high in January of 9.6 million tonnes. Exports rose in January on the back of increased sales to Europe, which rose from 2.7 million tonnes in December to 4.8 million tonnes in January.A strong end to 2018 meant that volumes for the full year totalled 87.4 million tonnes, 96.7% higher than the 44.4 million tonnes exported in 2017. This is good news for the crude oil tanker sector…

12 Mar 2019

Brazilian Soya Bean Exports Soar

© Auttapon Moonsawad/AdobeStock

According to a research note from BIMCO, Brazilian soya bean exports are up 85.2% in the first two months of 2019, this following a record high exports in 2018 of 83.6 million tonnes, which was a 22.7% increase from 2017.According to BIMCO, 2019 has seen the highest ever export of soya bean during the month of February. Exports totaled 6.1 million tonnes, a 112.6% increase from the 2.9 million tonnes exported in February 2018. Strong demand, in particular from China, the world’s largest soya bean importer…

07 Feb 2019

BIMCO: Trade War Cease-Fire for Dry Bulk Sector

Bulk Carrier AdobeStock (Photo: Credit: Lucasz Z WEB)

Following an almost total halt in exports of soya beans to China in the last quarter of 2018, the new year has brought new hopes for American farmers and the dry bulk shipping sector. The USDA reported that in the first four weeks of 2019 754,609 tonnes of soya beans were ready to be shipped in China, up from only 25,347 tonnes in December.In addition to the ready shipments, on February 5 and 6, the USDA reported sales totaling 3.2 million tonnes of soya beans to China, the majority of which is to be delivered between now and September 1…

14 Jan 2019

BIMCO: US Box Imports Break Records Despite Uncertainty Ahead

Peter Sand, BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst

Container imports on both the US East Coast (USEC) and West Coast (USWC) had a strong year in 2018, growing 3.7% and 8% respectively in the first 11 months of the year compared to the same period in 2017.Record high levels of inbound laden containers were experienced on both coasts in October with the USWC at 1.09 million TEU and the USEC at 0.91 million TEU according to BIMCO’s own data.The first two months of 2018 saw the USWC coast’s laden imports increase 11.7% from the start of 2017, with the accumulated growth rate then stabilising to around 4% for the rest of the year.

15 Nov 2018

Baltic Index [Finally] Gains on Higher Capesize Demand

File Image: A bulk carrier underway (CREDIT: K Line)

The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index, tracking rates for ships transporting dry bulk commodities, snapped its 12-day losing streak on Thursday, powered by a rise in demand for capesize vessels.The overall index, which factors in rates for capesize, panamax and supramax shipping vessels, gained 11 points or 1.1 percent - after falling 12 sessions in a row - to 1,020 points.The capesize index marked its first gain in 12 days, rising 7.1 percent, or 67 points, to 1,007 points.

15 Nov 2018

Baltic Index Marks First Gain in 13 days on Higher Capesize Demand

© Aleksey Stemmer / Adobe Stock

The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index, tracking rates for ships transporting dry bulk commodities, snapped its 12-day losing streak on Thursday, powered by a rise in demand for capesize vessels.* The overall index, which factors in rates for capesize, panamax and supramax shipping vessels, gained 11 points or 1.1 percent - after falling 12 sessions in a row - to 1,020 points.* The capesize index marked its first gain in 12 days, rising 7.1 percent, or 67 points, to 1,007…

06 Nov 2018

US Crude Oil Exports to China Stalled

© Igor Groshev / Adobe Stock

The development that saw no U.S. seaborne exports of crude oil to China in August has continued into September, according to BIMCO. This is despite crude oil not being a part of the ‘official trade war’.“The trade war between the U.S. and China is now impacting trade in both tariffed and some un-tariffed goods with both countries looking elsewhere for alternative buyers and sellers,” said Peter Sand, BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst.“Ton mile demand generated by total U.S. crude oil exports has risen 17 percent from August to September…

01 Nov 2018

BIMCO: US soya bean exports to China down 97%

© sanguer/Adobe Stock

The trade war and particularly the Chinese tariffs on imports of U.S. soya beans can now clearly be seen with the start of the soya bean peak exporting period in the U.S. In the first eight weeks of the 2018/19 marketing year accumulated U.S. exports are down 39%, from 12.2 million tonnes on 26 October 2017 to 7.5 million tonnes on 25 October 2018.“While weekly exports this season have been consistently lower than last season, the week to 18 October marked the single biggest decrease, from 2.5 million tonnes in the corresponding week last year, to just 1.1 million tonnes.

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