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Traders Scramble to Avert Regional Fuel Shortages

Maritime Activity Reports, Inc.

August 31, 2017

Mexico buys gasoline from Europe, Asia; in rare move, Europe exports diesel to Brazil.
 
The crippling of the U.S. Gulf Coast refining hub by Tropical Storm Harvey roiled global oil markets on Thursday as traders scrambled to buy gasoline and diesel from distant markets to avert supply shortages in the United States, Mexico and Brazil.
 
A slew of gasoline tankers has been booked over the past two days out of Europe to the United States and Latin America, with around 12.5 million barrels expected to leave the region in the first half of the month, sharply higher than usual flows, according to traders and shipping data.
 
Mexico's state-run oil company Pemex, which heavily relies on U.S. fuel supplies, has over the past week booked at least seven cargoes of gasoline, or around 2.1 million barrels, from Singapore, Canada and Europe, according to the same sources.
 
In another sign of how Harvey is opening rarely used trading routes, at least three tankers carrying diesel have been booked out of Europe and the Mediterranean to go to Brazil, which also usually draws large volumes from the U.S. Gulf Coast. Mercuria, Glencore and Castleton booked the vessels, according to traders.
 
Europe typically imports diesel from the U.S. Gulf Coast.
 
Around one quarter of the U.S. refining capacity, or 4.4 million barrels per day, has been shuttered over the past week as Harvey pummelled Texas, sending gasoline prices to a two-year high of above $2 a gallon.
 
The disruption has been made worse as the Colonial Pipeline, the biggest U.S. fuel system, is set to shut its main lines to the Northeast by Thursday due to outages at pumping points and lack of supplies from refiners.
 
BAD TIMING
The outages come at a particularly bad time ahead of the U.S. Labor Day weekend, said Olivier Jakob, strategist at Petromatrix consultancy.
 
"It will tighten the global picture for products, coming at a time when you start to have refineries going into maintenance before winter," he said.
 
Similarly, traders have booked tankers to deliver jet fuel, diesel and gasoline from Asia and even Australia to the West Coast of the United States and Mexico, despite the huge distance across the Pacific, according to shipping data.
 
The U.S. Gulf Coast has in recent years become a major refined product export hub, shipping nearly 2.7 million barrels per day (bpd) of gasoline, diesel and other fuels in May this year, according to the Energy Information Administration.
 
Mexico alone drew some 324,000 bpd of gasoline from the U.S. Gulf Coast that month, accounting for nearly half of the country's gasoline demand.
 
Benchmark European gasoline refining margins, which measure the profit of converting crude oil into the road fuel, rose to around $21 a barrel on Thursday, a two-year high.
 
Gasoline refinery profits in Singapore <GL92-SIN-CRK>, a benchmark in Asia, jumped to more than $15.60 per barrel, their highest level since early 2016.
 
Freight rates continued to climb on Thursday. Booking tankers at these rates highlights the urgency of traders to secure the supplies.
 

The cost of hiring a standard 37,000 tonne tanker between Europe and the United States was around $17,500 per day, more than doubling from a week ago, according to ship brokers.

 

By Ron Bousso and Ahmad Ghaddar

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